B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$150.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-04-29 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
TTMI
TTMDNasdaq / Technology Hardware & Equipment
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
The company delivered a clean T+1 earnings follow-up: record quarterly sales and non-GAAP EPS, strong Q2 guidance, and explicit commentary that AI/data-center buildouts plus defense demand drove the upside [#8-K-2026-04-29].
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
3 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-09.
What can break
Customer concentration remains meaningful: the top five OEM customers were about 44% of 2025 net sales and two customers were 23% [#10-K-2026-02-17].
Momentum
22
Value
43
Sentiment
54
Setup hits (3d)
3 · Net Bullish
AI TargetsBase $122.00 · Bull $150.00 · Bear $105.00Analysis 2026-04-29; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-04-29 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-09
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade D · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Bullish
Target $206.40
Why
Momentum22 · Δ7d +4.9
Value43 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment54 · Δ7d -8.2
So what
Weak posture (Net Bullish). Prioritize risk control and patience.
Confirming evidence
- • 3 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-09.
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -8.2.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Customer concentration remains meaningful: the top five OEM customers were about 44% of 2025 net sales and two customers were 23% [#10-K-2026-02-17].
- • Management’s view that first-half 2026 growth can continue at a similar pace in the second half depends on sustained AI/data-center and defense demand; any slowdown would pressure a stock already trading above the packet’s median target [#8-K-2026-04-29].
- • The stock was already extended into the print and traded roughly flat versus the April 28, 2026 anchor despite a strong release, suggesting much of the good news was already priced; post-print sell-side target revisions were not yet visible in the checked evidence, so valuation support has not caught up.
Catalyst clock
2026-05-15
Q1 2026 beat-and-raise follow-through
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
22
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+4.9
Δ21d
+9.6
Value
43
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
+0.9
Sentiment
54
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-8.2
Δ21d
-1.5
Why this grade
Composite grade D. Momentum 22.0 / Value 43.2 / Sentiment 53.7
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-04-29. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$122.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-04-29 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
30%
Probability
Target price
$105.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-04-29 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$14.85B
Beta
1.74
Shares Out
105.35M
P/E (TTM)
54.2
P/S (TTM)
2.52
P/FCF (TTM)
196.24
Rev YoY
+37.4%
EPS YoY
+94.9%
Gross Margin
+20.3%
Op Margin
+10.0%
Net Debt
$528.3M
Current Ratio
1.78
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data