B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$82.13
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2025-11-29 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
TTE
TotalEnergies SEDNYSE / Energy
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Bull case assumes sustained oil price strength, improved refining margins and ongoing shareholder distributions; renewables investments add optional upside to multiple over time.
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
6 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-09.
What can break
Bear case assumes weaker oil demand, higher transition/regulatory costs, or macro shock that compresses margins and forces lower distributions.
Momentum
53
Value
62
Sentiment
47
Setup hits (3d)
6 · Net Bullish
AI TargetsBase $68.99 · Bull $82.13 · Bear $52.56Analysis 2025-11-29; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2025-11-29 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-09
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade D · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Bullish
Target $99.00
Why
Momentum53 · Δ7d +7.6
Value62 · Δ7d +0.1
Sentiment47 · Δ7d +4.5
So what
Weak posture (Net Bullish). Prioritize risk control and patience.
Confirming evidence
- • 6 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-09.
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +4.5.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Bear case assumes weaker oil demand, higher transition/regulatory costs, or macro shock that compresses margins and forces lower distributions.
- • Mixed signals. Wait for cleaner trend confirmation.
Catalyst clock
No dated catalyst is available.
Dividend policy / shareholder returns update
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
53
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+7.6
Δ21d
-9.4
Value
62
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.1
Δ21d
+1.9
Sentiment
47
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+4.5
Δ21d
+1.3
Why this grade
Composite grade D. Momentum 53.5 / Value 61.6 / Sentiment 47.2
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2025-11-29. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
60%
Probability
Target price
$68.99
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2025-11-29 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$52.56
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2025-11-29 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$196.26B
Beta
0.51
Shares Out
2.22B
P/E (TTM)
10.1
P/S (TTM)
0.79
P/FCF (TTM)
29.20
Rev YoY
+27.8%
EPS YoY
+100.5%
Gross Margin
+14.2%
Op Margin
+14.2%
Net Debt
$31.74B
Current Ratio
1.06
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data