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TTE

TotalEnergies SEC
NYSE / Energy
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Bull case assumes sustained oil price strength, improved refining margins and ongoing shareholder distributions; renewables investments add optional upside to multiple over time.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Value
What changed
9 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-10-26.
What can break
Bear case assumes weaker oil demand, higher transition/regulatory costs, or macro shock that compresses margins and forces lower distributions.
Momentum
65
Value
61
Sentiment
41
Setup hits (3d)
9 · Net Bullish
AI TargetsBase $68.99 · Bull $82.13 · Bear $52.56Analysis 2025-11-29; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-26 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-26 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2025-11-29 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-26

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-26. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Bullish
Target $101.63
Why
Momentum65 · Δ7d -1.7
Value61 · Δ7d -0.3
Sentiment41 · Δ7d -1.7
So what
Balanced signals (Net Bullish). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.

Confirming evidence

  • • 9 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-10-26.
  • • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.3.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Bear case assumes weaker oil demand, higher transition/regulatory costs, or macro shock that compresses margins and forces lower distributions.
  • • Mixed signals. Wait for cleaner trend confirmation.

Catalyst clock

No dated catalyst is available.

Dividend policy / shareholder returns update

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
65
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-1.7
Δ21d
-12.3
Value
61
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.3
Δ21d
-1.3
Sentiment
41
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-1.7
Δ21d
-13.7
Why this grade

Composite grade C. Momentum 64.8 / Value 60.9 / Sentiment 41.3

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2025-11-29. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$82.13
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2025-11-29 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Most likely
B
Base case
60%
Probability
Target price
$68.99
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2025-11-29 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$52.56
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2025-11-29 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-26
Market Cap
$209.08B
Beta
0.51
Shares Out
2.22B
P/E (TTM)
10.1
P/S (TTM)
0.79
P/FCF (TTM)
29.20
Rev YoY
+27.8%
EPS YoY
+100.5%
Gross Margin
+14.2%
Op Margin
+14.2%
Net Debt
$31.74B
Current Ratio
1.06
As of 2026-10-26 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data