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TSQ

Townsquare MediaA
NYSE / Media & Entertainment
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
The post-earnings bull case is that Q1 was good enough to preserve the thesis: revenue and Adjusted EBITDA met prior guidance, full-year 2026 guidance was reaffirmed, Digital Advertising revenue grew 6.8%, digital reached record mix levels, and media partnerships roughly doubled. If those trends persist into Q2, the market could give more credit to the digital transition.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite.
What can break
Broadcast Advertising revenue fell 6.6% year over year in Q1, showing legacy radio pressure is still real.
Momentum
19
Value
55
Sentiment
88
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $6.00 · Bull $8.50 · Bear $4.50Analysis 2026-05-14; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-05-14 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade A · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $12.50
Why
Momentum19 · Δ7d -
Value55 · Δ7d 0.0
Sentiment88 · Δ7d -
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Broadcast Advertising revenue fell 6.6% year over year in Q1, showing legacy radio pressure is still real.
  • • Net leverage was 5.27x at March 31, 2026, with only $2.2 million of cash, leaving limited room for execution misses.
  • • The bear case is that the quarter was still operationally mixed: total revenue fell 1.9%, Adjusted EBITDA fell 9.7%, Broadcast Advertising declined 6.6%, Townsquare Interactive declined 7.9% due to lower sales velocity from lower headcount, and leverage remains high.

Catalyst clock

2026-08-01

Q2 results must validate the Q1 digital rebound and 2026 reaffirmation

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
19
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendTrend unavailable
Trend unavailable
Δ7d
-
Δ21d
-
Value
55
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
-6.6
Sentiment
88
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendTrend unavailable
Trend unavailable
Δ7d
-
Δ21d
-
Why this grade

Composite grade A. Momentum 19.5 / Value 55.4 / Sentiment 87.8

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-05-14. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$8.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-14 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$6.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-14 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
30%
Probability
Target price
$4.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-14 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$105.38M
Beta
0.98
Shares Out
18.23M
P/E (TTM)
4.3
P/S (TTM)
0.19
P/FCF (TTM)
4.77
Rev YoY
-0.1%
EPS YoY
-2582.4%
Gross Margin
+20.4%
Op Margin
+12.5%
Net Debt
$479.66M
Current Ratio
0.92
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data