B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$64.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-01 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
TSN
Tyson FoodsCNYSE / Food Beverage & Tobacco
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Chicken value-added mix and Prepared Foods execution remain resilient while beef-network changes start reducing costs in FY2027. This requires evidence that September's lowered outlook marks a trough, not another step down.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.4.
What can break
Beef losses may persist amid cattle shortages, volatile cattle prices and inventory-valuation pressure; restructuring savings have not yet been demonstrated. [#8-K-2026-09-03] Company outlook exhibit
Momentum
63
Value
57
Sentiment
45
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $51.00 · Bull $64.00 · Bear $40.00Analysis 2026-10-01; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-10-01 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-10-23
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $63.00
Why
Momentum63 · Δ7d +7.6
Value57 · Δ7d -0.4
Sentiment45 · Δ7d -2.9
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.
Confirming evidence
- • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.4.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Beef losses may persist amid cattle shortages, volatile cattle prices and inventory-valuation pressure; restructuring savings have not yet been demonstrated. [#8-K-2026-09-03] Company outlook exhibit
- • September guidance lowered FY2026 adjusted operating income to $1.85–$2.05 billion from August's $2.1–$2.3 billion range. [#8-K-2026-09-03] September outlook exhibit
- • The September outlook cut extended August's downgrade: Beef's projected adjusted loss widened to $625–$775 million, while Chicken and Pork guidance also fell.
Catalyst clock
2026-11-16
November 16 results test the lowered FY2026 outlook
Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
63
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
+7.6
Δ21d
+16.5
Value
57
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.4
Δ21d
-0.9
Sentiment
45
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-2.9
Δ21d
-15.9
Why this grade
Composite grade C. Momentum 62.8 / Value 57.2 / Sentiment 44.5
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-10-01. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$51.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-01 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
30%
Probability
Target price
$40.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-01 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-10-23
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$19.55B
Beta
0.47
Shares Out
344.8M
P/E (TTM)
42.8
P/S (TTM)
0.37
P/FCF (TTM)
42.02
Rev YoY
-0.1%
EPS YoY
+200.9%
Gross Margin
+6.2%
Op Margin
+2.5%
Net Debt
$8.47B
Current Ratio
1.43
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data