B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$70.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-12 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
TSN
Tyson FoodsBNYSE / Food Beverage & Tobacco
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
The Q3 print supports a constructive operating case: chicken profitability remained strong, management cited sustained market-share gains, liquidity was $4.0 billion, and FY2026 free-cash-flow guidance remained $1.3-$1.7 billion. A continued chicken cycle and better branded-food execution could gradually offset beef losses.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
1 setup hits (3d) with net bearish as of 2026-09-09.
What can break
A $98 million legal-contingency accrual reduced Q3 sales and complicates year-over-year comparability.
Momentum
19
Value
57
Sentiment
81
Setup hits (3d)
1 · Net Bearish
AI TargetsBase $60.00 · Bull $70.00 · Bear $48.00Analysis 2026-08-12; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-12 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-09
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Bearish
Target $65.08
Why
Momentum19 · Δ7d -2.3
Value57 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment81 · Δ7d +13.9
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Bearish). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.
Confirming evidence
- • 1 setup hits (3d) with net bearish as of 2026-09-09.
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +13.9.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • A $98 million legal-contingency accrual reduced Q3 sales and complicates year-over-year comparability.
- • Beef remains structurally loss-making, with FY2026 adjusted operating loss guidance of $500-$650 million.
- • The post-print thesis is tempered by the lower total-company outlook, a wider projected beef loss, nine-month adjusted operating income down 4% year over year, and lower operating cash flow.
Catalyst clock
2026-08-03
Q3 earnings showed chicken-led operating strength
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
19
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-2.3
Δ21d
-10.4
Value
57
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
-1.0
Sentiment
81
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+13.9
Δ21d
+16.2
Why this grade
Composite grade B. Momentum 19.1 / Value 57.0 / Sentiment 80.9
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-12. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
55%
Probability
Target price
$60.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-12 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$48.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-12 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$20.21B
Beta
0.47
Shares Out
344.8M
P/E (TTM)
42.8
P/S (TTM)
0.37
P/FCF (TTM)
42.02
Rev YoY
-0.1%
EPS YoY
+200.9%
Gross Margin
+6.2%
Op Margin
+2.5%
Net Debt
$8.47B
Current Ratio
1.43
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data