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TS

TenarisD
NYSE / Energy
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Stronger-than-expected FY2025 results and an accelerating recovery in tubular demand drive margin expansion and push the stock toward analyst highs near $50.
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
3 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-09.
What can break
Emerging-market FX shocks or demand weakness
Momentum
28
Value
55
Sentiment
49
Setup hits (3d)
3 · Net Bullish
AI TargetsBase $44.57 · Bull $50.00 · Bear $38.00Analysis 2026-01-30; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-01-30 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade D · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Bullish
Target $64.99
Why
Momentum28 · Δ7d +10.4
Value55 · Δ7d +0.2
Sentiment49 · Δ7d +3.8
So what
Weak posture (Net Bullish). Prioritize risk control and patience.

Confirming evidence

  • • 3 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-09.
  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +3.8.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Emerging-market FX shocks or demand weakness
  • • Rising raw-material costs or lower steel prices compressing margins
  • • A renewed pullback in upstream spending, persistent steel-cost pressure, or adverse FX in EM markets compresses margins and drags the stock toward the analyst low near $38.

Catalyst clock

2026-02-25

FY2025 results (2026-02-25)

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
28
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+10.4
Δ21d
+3.4
Value
55
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.2
Δ21d
-3.3
Sentiment
49
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+3.8
Δ21d
-5.3
Why this grade

Composite grade D. Momentum 28.1 / Value 54.7 / Sentiment 49.0

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-01-30. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$50.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-01-30 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Most likely
B
Base case
60%
Probability
Target price
$44.57
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-01-30 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$38.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-01-30 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$28.5B
Beta
0.96
Shares Out
536M
P/E (TTM)
10.8
P/S (TTM)
1.83
P/FCF (TTM)
16.23
Rev YoY
-5.3%
EPS YoY
-6.3%
Gross Margin
+33.2%
Op Margin
+18.8%
Net Debt
-$2.43B
Current Ratio
4.07
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data