B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$1.22
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2025-11-29 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
TRVI
Trevi TherapeuticsFNasdaq / Pharmaceuticals, Biotechnology & Life Sciences
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
If Trevi secures positive clinical signals and extends runway without heavy dilution, shares could re-rate toward small-cap biotech multiples driven by program value and potential partnerships.
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.0.
What can break
Failed trials, negative safety signals, or dilutive financings could drive the equity toward zero; cash runway and binary readouts are main downside drivers.
Momentum
29
Value
41
Sentiment
0
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $0.61 · Bull $1.22 · Bear $0.30Analysis 2025-11-29; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-11 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2025-11-29 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-11
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-11
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-11. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade F · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $29.50
Why
Momentum29 · Δ7d -3.1
Value41 · Δ7d -0.0
Sentiment0 · Δ7d 0.0
So what
Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.
Confirming evidence
- • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.0.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Failed trials, negative safety signals, or dilutive financings could drive the equity toward zero; cash runway and binary readouts are main downside drivers.
- • Mixed signals. Wait for cleaner trend confirmation.
Catalyst clock
2026-03-31
Cash runway / financing event
Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
29
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-3.1
Δ21d
-42.3
Value
41
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.0
Δ21d
+0.1
Sentiment
0
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
0.0
Why this grade
Composite grade F. Momentum 29.2 / Value 41.2 / Sentiment 0.0
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2025-11-29. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
60%
Probability
Target price
$0.61
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2025-11-29 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$0.30
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2025-11-29 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$2.63B
Beta
0.96
Shares Out
142.48M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
-58.2
P/S (TTM)
-
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
-52.37
Rev YoY
-
EPS YoY
+20.3%
Gross Margin
-
Op Margin
-
Net Debt
-$187.51M
Current Ratio
37.28
As of 2026-09-11 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data