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TRUG

TruGolfB
Nasdaq / Media & Entertainment
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
The distribution MOU could expand TruGolf's addressable customer channels, while improving Q2 revenue, gross profit, and operating loss support a potential recovery if software subscriptions and franchise locations scale.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite.
What can break
Cash burn and financing dependence could require additional capital, with dilution and capital-structure complexity remaining concerns. [#SEC-10Q-2026-08-14]
Momentum
73
Value
55
Sentiment
72
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $0.48 · Bull $0.70 · Bear $0.20Analysis 2026-09-09; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $6.00
Why
Momentum73 · Δ7d -
Value55 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment72 · Δ7d -
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Cash burn and financing dependence could require additional capital, with dilution and capital-structure complexity remaining concerns. [#SEC-10Q-2026-08-14]
  • • Q1 2026 revenue declined year over year and gross margin fell to 53.0% from 68.0%, despite lower operating expenses and interest expense. [#PR-EARNINGS-2026-05-21]
  • • The MOU has no first-year sales commitments, definitive agreement completion is uncertain, and cash burn, financing dependence, dilution, and execution risk remain material.

Catalyst clock

2026-12-08

Binding Canadian and Hard Rock distribution MOU

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
73
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendTrend unavailable
Trend unavailable
Δ7d
-
Δ21d
-
Value
55
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
-0.5
Sentiment
72
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendTrend unavailable
Trend unavailable
Δ7d
-
Δ21d
-
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 73.0 / Value 54.6 / Sentiment 72.3

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-09-09. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$0.70
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-09 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$0.48
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-09 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
35%
Probability
Target price
$0.20
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-09 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$1.72M
Beta
-0.96
Shares Out
1.11M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
-0.0
P/S (TTM)
0.09
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
-0.27
Rev YoY
+34.4%
EPS YoY
-99.0%
Gross Margin
+34.8%
Op Margin
-13.2%
Net Debt
-$6.69M
Current Ratio
0.84
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data