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TROX

TronoxB
NYSE / Materials
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Bull case: a sustained TiO2 price recovery, stronger volumes, and successful cost execution (including announced closures) drive margin expansion and analyst upgrades toward the high end, supporting the bull target (8.4).
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +12.2.
What can break
Execution failure on restructuring or surprise remediation costs increasing leverage
Momentum
6
Value
40
Sentiment
85
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $6.34 · Bull $8.40 · Bear $3.54Analysis 2026-02-19; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-02-19 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $7.05
Why
Momentum6 · Δ7d -2.0
Value40 · Δ7d 0.0
Sentiment85 · Δ7d +12.2
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +12.2.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Execution failure on restructuring or surprise remediation costs increasing leverage
  • • Raw-material or energy feedstock price spikes compressing margins
  • • Bear case: prolonged weak pigment demand, persistent feedstock inflation, or execution failure keep adjusted EBITDA depressed, pushing consensus to the low end and supporting the bear target (3.54).

Catalyst clock

2026-05-20

Quarterly results and guidance update

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
6
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-2.0
Δ21d
-7.2
Value
40
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
-9.3
Sentiment
85
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+12.2
Δ21d
+20.5
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 6.1 / Value 40.1 / Sentiment 84.9

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-02-19. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
15%
Probability
Target price
$8.40
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-19 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Most likely
B
Base case
70%
Probability
Target price
$6.34
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-19 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
B-
Bear case
15%
Probability
Target price
$3.54
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-19 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$923.07M
Beta
1.15
Shares Out
159.7M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
-1.9
P/S (TTM)
0.26
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
-4.53
Rev YoY
+18.7%
EPS YoY
+101.9%
Gross Margin
+5.2%
Op Margin
-3.4%
Net Debt
$3.23B
Current Ratio
2.55
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data