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TRMD

TORMD
Nasdaq / Energy
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Bull case assumes sustained freight-rate recovery and improved utilization driving materially higher TCEs and distributions; NAV re-rating toward analyst highs supports a >35% upside within 12 months.
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
3 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-10-24.
What can break
Adverse macro/regulatory changes affecting tanker rates
Momentum
94
Value
48
Sentiment
43
Setup hits (3d)
3 · Net Bullish
AI TargetsBase $30.22 · Bull $38.72 · Bear $17.21Analysis 2026-03-07; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-03-07 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade D · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Bullish
Target $42.27
Why
Momentum94 · Δ7d -3.3
Value48 · Δ7d -0.1
Sentiment43 · Δ7d -2.5
So what
Weak posture (Net Bullish). Prioritize risk control and patience.

Confirming evidence

  • • 3 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-10-24.
  • • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.1.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Adverse macro/regulatory changes affecting tanker rates
  • • Prolonged tanker oversupply or weaker global demand
  • • Bear case assumes prolonged rate weakness or structural oversupply leading to cashflow compression and dividend cuts, pushing valuation toward the low analyst range driven by NAV impairment fears.

Catalyst clock

2026-06-05

Analyst revisions / corporate news (dividend/fleet actions)

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
94
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-3.3
Δ21d
-2.9
Value
48
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.1
Δ21d
0.0
Sentiment
43
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-2.5
Δ21d
-4.9
Why this grade

Composite grade D. Momentum 94.4 / Value 48.4 / Sentiment 43.4

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-03-07. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$38.72
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-03-07 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Most likely
B
Base case
60%
Probability
Target price
$30.22
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-03-07 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
B-
Bear case
15%
Probability
Target price
$17.21
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-03-07 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$4.1B
Beta
0.58
Shares Out
102.71M
P/E (TTM)
7.5
P/S (TTM)
1.58
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
-22.10
Rev YoY
+22.2%
EPS YoY
+88.5%
Gross Margin
+36.3%
Op Margin
+28.4%
Net Debt
$839.6M
Current Ratio
1.40
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data