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TRMB

TrimbleA
Nasdaq / Software & Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
The Q2 print supports a constructive view: revenue grew 11%, organic ARR grew 12%, profitability expanded, and full-year guidance was raised. The $1 billion repurchase authorization adds capital-return support.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +7.0.
What can break
A reliable pre- versus post-release market-reaction comparison is unavailable.
Momentum
35
Value
60
Sentiment
80
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $66.00 · Bull $78.00 · Bear $48.00Analysis 2026-08-17; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-10 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-17 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-10

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-10. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade A · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $80.22
Why
Momentum35 · Δ7d -31.0
Value60 · Δ7d -0.0
Sentiment80 · Δ7d +7.0
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +7.0.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • A reliable pre- versus post-release market-reaction comparison is unavailable.
  • • GAAP earnings remain distorted by impairment and elevated tax assumptions.
  • • The thesis remains exposed to a temporary Field Systems ARR reset, constrained freight-market conditions, the uncertain T&L strategic review, and a $562 million T&L goodwill impairment.

Catalyst clock

2026-11-15

Q3 execution against raised 2026 outlook

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
35
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-31.0
Δ21d
-5.8
Value
60
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.0
Δ21d
+2.3
Sentiment
80
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+7.0
Δ21d
+2.8
Why this grade

Composite grade A. Momentum 35.3 / Value 60.0 / Sentiment 80.4

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-17. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$78.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-17 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
55%
Probability
Target price
$66.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-17 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$48.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-17 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$12.99B
Beta
1.59
Shares Out
233.18M
P/E (TTM)
53.9
P/S (TTM)
5.24
P/FCF (TTM)
59.84
Rev YoY
+11.0%
EPS YoY
-643.8%
Gross Margin
+66.9%
Op Margin
+18.7%
Net Debt
$1.32B
Current Ratio
0.95
As of 2026-09-10 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data