TREX

TrexA

NYSE / Capital Goods

At close

2026-07-18

Current thesis

Q1 delivered $343 million of sales, 40.5% gross margin, and $103 million of adjusted EBITDA, while retail shelf wins, premium mix, PVC expansion, and channel initiatives could support above-industry growth [#SEC-8K-2026-05-07].

Posture

Constructive

Lead driver

Value

What changed

Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.8.

What can break

Execution against the unchanged $335-$350 million adjusted EBITDA outlook remains the key near-term risk [#8-K-2026-07-14].

Momentum

Value

Sentiment

Setup hits (3d)

— · Net —

AI TargetsBase $52.50 · Bull $60.00 · Bear $37.00

Data freshness

Prices

As of 2026-07-18

Fundamentals

As of 2026-07-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1

Scores

As of 2026-07-18 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP

AI Memo

As of 2026-07-19 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex

Investment thesis

As of 2026-07-18

Supporting evidence

What

Grade A · Constructive

Confidence Medium · Net —

Target $52.56

Why

Momentum84 · Δ7d -4.5

Value61 · Δ7d +0.8

Sentiment54 · Δ7d +0.7

So what

Strength-led posture. Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Setup hits not loaded

Load setup hits to see net bias and recent triggers.

Load setup hits

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals

Momentum

26% active weight

Current posture

7d trendSoftening

Δ7d

-4.5

Δ21d

+8.4

Value

39% active weight

Current posture

7d trendFlat

Δ7d

+0.8

Δ21d

+1.0

Sentiment

34% active weight

Current posture

7d trendSoftening

Δ7d

+0.7

Δ21d

+52.6

Why this grade

Composite grade A. Momentum 84.4 / Value 60.6 / Sentiment 54.3

Fundamentals (TTM)

As of 2026-07-17

Market Cap

$4.69B

Beta

1.58

Shares Out

103.9M

P/E (TTM)

19.6

P/S (TTM)

3.29

P/FCF (TTM)

369.98

Rev YoY

+1.0%

EPS YoY

+3.7%

Gross Margin

+39.2%

Op Margin

+22.9%

Net Debt

$183.53M

Current Ratio

1.02

As of 2026-07-18 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology