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TPC

Tutor PeriniA
NYSE / Capital Goods
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Large backlog, stronger second-quarter project profitability, raised 2026 adjusted EPS guidance, and recent awards support further earnings growth if execution and collections hold. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-05] Source: https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/77543/000007754326000184/tpc20260805ex991.htm
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.6.
What can break
August–September Form 4 filings show director and executive-chairman open-market sales; these are ownership signals, not evidence of weaker operations. [#SEC-FORM4-2026-08-11] [#SEC-FORM4-2026-08-28] [#SEC-FORM4-2026-09-02]
Momentum
44
Value
66
Sentiment
68
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $87.00 · Bull $108.00 · Bear $58.00Analysis 2026-10-24; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-27 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-27 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-10-24 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-27

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-27. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade A · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $117.00
Why
Momentum44 · Δ7d -0.4
Value66 · Δ7d -0.6
Sentiment68 · Δ7d -0.9
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.6.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • August–September Form 4 filings show director and executive-chairman open-market sales; these are ownership signals, not evidence of weaker operations. [#SEC-FORM4-2026-08-11] [#SEC-FORM4-2026-08-28] [#SEC-FORM4-2026-09-02]
  • • Complex, multiyear construction projects expose backlog conversion to scheduling, labor, subcontractor, and cost execution risk.
  • • Backlog is not guaranteed profit: delays, cost overruns, weaker project mix, or slower collections could undermine the 2027 earnings outlook.

Catalyst clock

2026-11-15

New awards enter third-quarter backlog

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
44
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
-0.4
Δ21d
-24.0
Value
66
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.6
Δ21d
+1.5
Sentiment
68
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.9
Δ21d
+7.7
Why this grade

Composite grade A. Momentum 43.5 / Value 65.8 / Sentiment 68.4

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-10-24. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
30%
Probability
Target price
$108.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-24 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$87.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-24 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$58.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-24 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-27
Market Cap
$4.25B
Beta
2.21
Shares Out
52.57M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
52.9
P/S (TTM)
0.74
P/FCF (TTM)
7.21
Rev YoY
+19.2%
EPS YoY
+227.4%
Gross Margin
+11.5%
Op Margin
+4.5%
Net Debt
-$528.23M
Current Ratio
1.29
As of 2026-10-27 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data