B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$7.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-24 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
TOYO
TOYOCNasdaq / Semiconductors & Semiconductor Equipment
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
TOYO delivered strong H1 execution: revenue rose 87.6% year over year to approximately $261 million, gross margin expanded to 32.5%, and U.S. end-customer revenue reached 80.7% of H1 sales.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +5.6.
What can break
CBP reviews of Ethiopian shipments and Section 232 trade-policy negotiations could affect second-half revenue and margins.
Momentum
2
Value
62
Sentiment
58
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $4.50 · Bull $7.50 · Bear $2.80Analysis 2026-08-24; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-08 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-24 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-08
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-08
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-08. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $14.00
Why
Momentum2 · Δ7d +0.5
Value62 · Δ7d 0.0
Sentiment58 · Δ7d +5.6
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.
Confirming evidence
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +5.6.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • CBP reviews of Ethiopian shipments and Section 232 trade-policy negotiations could affect second-half revenue and margins.
- • FY2026 guidance was not reaffirmed after the Q2 results.
- • The Q2 print reportedly missed consensus materially, management withheld reaffirmation of FY2026 guidance, and the shares fell sharply after the release.
Catalyst clock
2026-08-19
Q2 miss and FY2026 guidance not reaffirmed
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
2
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.5
Δ21d
+1.0
Value
62
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
-0.1
Sentiment
58
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
+5.6
Δ21d
-29.7
Why this grade
Composite grade C. Momentum 2.5 / Value 62.0 / Sentiment 58.0
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-24. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$4.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-24 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
30%
Probability
Target price
$2.80
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-24 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$253.75M
Beta
0.88
Shares Out
42.72M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
4.5
P/S (TTM)
-
P/FCF (TTM)
88.97
Rev YoY
-37.7%
EPS YoY
+160.0%
Gross Margin
+22.5%
Op Margin
+13.8%
Net Debt
$80.64M
Current Ratio
1.12
As of 2026-09-08 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data