B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$1.20
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2025-12-07 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
TOUR
TuniuFNasdaq / Consumer Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Improving China travel demand, operating leverage, and modest margin gains drive revenue growth and re-rating. Low absolute base creates outsized percentage upside if bookings monetize reliably [#EDGAR-10Q-2025-09-30].
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta 0.0.
What can break
Sustained weak bookings, margin compression, or liquidity strain (thin float, sub-$1 price) could force deeper markdowns or operational stress; limited market-making would amplify declines [#RankAlpha-Price-2025-12-05].
Momentum
26
Value
36
Sentiment
0
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $0.75 · Bull $1.20 · Bear $0.40Analysis 2025-12-07; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-11 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2025-12-07 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-11
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-11
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-11. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade F · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $8.22
Why
Momentum26 · Δ7d -
Value36 · Δ7d 0.0
Sentiment0 · Δ7d -
So what
Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.
Confirming evidence
- • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta 0.0.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Sustained weak bookings, margin compression, or liquidity strain (thin float, sub-$1 price) could force deeper markdowns or operational stress; limited market-making would amplify declines [#RankAlpha-Price-2025-12-05].
- • Mixed signals. Wait for cleaner trend confirmation.
Catalyst clock
2025-12-15
Q3 2025 Form 10-Q / earnings update
Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
26
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendTrend unavailable
Trend unavailable
Δ7d
-
Δ21d
-
Value
36
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
+0.4
Sentiment
0
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendTrend unavailable
Trend unavailable
Δ7d
-
Δ21d
-
Why this grade
Composite grade F. Momentum 26.1 / Value 35.5 / Sentiment 0.0
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2025-12-07. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
60%
Probability
Target price
$0.75
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2025-12-07 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$0.40
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2025-12-07 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$50.42M
Beta
0.59
Shares Out
9.75M
P/E (TTM)
88.0
P/S (TTM)
1.04
P/FCF (TTM)
6.86
Rev YoY
+18.6%
EPS YoY
-115.9%
Gross Margin
+57.2%
Op Margin
+2.9%
Net Debt
-$138.34M
Current Ratio
2.34
As of 2026-09-11 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data