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TNK

Teekay TankersA
NYSE / Energy
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
The Q2 print materially strengthened the operating case: record spot rates, strong free-cash-flow generation, large liquidity, low cash breakeven, and ongoing fleet renewal. Q3 bookings remain well above normal seasonal levels.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-10-27.
What can break
Aframax/LR2 rates have shown sensitivity to newbuilding deliveries and vessels switching from clean to dirty trades.
Momentum
87
Value
69
Sentiment
47
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $82.00 · Bull $95.00 · Bear $64.00Analysis 2026-08-03; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Earnings
2026-10-27
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-03 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade A · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $97.84
Why
Momentum87 · Δ7d -6.7
Value69 · Δ7d -0.6
Sentiment47 · Δ7d -1.3
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-10-27.
  • • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.6.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Aframax/LR2 rates have shown sensitivity to newbuilding deliveries and vessels switching from clean to dirty trades.
  • • High vessel prices could make fleet renewal less accretive and increase capital-allocation risk.
  • • Earnings are highly exposed to volatile tanker markets and geopolitical disruption.

Catalyst clock

2026-10-27

Record Q2 earnings and cash generation

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
87
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-6.7
Δ21d
-7.9
Value
69
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.6
Δ21d
+1.4
Sentiment
47
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-1.3
Δ21d
-2.4
Why this grade

Composite grade A. Momentum 86.9 / Value 68.8 / Sentiment 46.6

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-03. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$95.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-03 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$82.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-03 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$64.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-03 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$3.45B
Beta
-0.27
Shares Out
34.68M
P/E (TTM)
5.6
P/S (TTM)
1.72
P/FCF (TTM)
84.30
Rev YoY
+63.0%
EPS YoY
+259.0%
Gross Margin
+42.9%
Op Margin
+38.8%
Net Debt
-$806.88M
Current Ratio
9.99
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data