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TNK

Teekay TankersC
NYSE / Energy
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
The Q2 print materially strengthened the operating case: record spot rates, strong free-cash-flow generation, large liquidity, low cash breakeven, and ongoing fleet renewal. Q3 bookings remain well above normal seasonal levels.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.3.
What can break
Aframax/LR2 rates have shown sensitivity to newbuilding deliveries and vessels switching from clean to dirty trades.
Momentum
85
Value
70
Sentiment
54
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $82.00 · Bull $95.00 · Bear $64.00Analysis 2026-08-03; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-03 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $95.70
Why
Momentum85 · Δ7d +5.7
Value70 · Δ7d +0.1
Sentiment54 · Δ7d +0.3
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.

Confirming evidence

  • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.3.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • Aframax/LR2 rates have shown sensitivity to newbuilding deliveries and vessels switching from clean to dirty trades.
  • High vessel prices could make fleet renewal less accretive and increase capital-allocation risk.
  • Earnings are highly exposed to volatile tanker markets and geopolitical disruption.

Catalyst clock

2026-07-30

Record Q2 earnings and cash generation

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
85
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+5.7
Δ21d
+0.8
Value
70
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.1
Δ21d
+12.1
Sentiment
54
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.3
Δ21d
-1.9
Why this grade

Composite grade C. Momentum 85.2 / Value 70.1 / Sentiment 54.1

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-03. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$95.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-03 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$82.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-03 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$64.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-03 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$3.09B
Beta
-0.27
Shares Out
34.38M
P/E (TTM)
5.6
P/S (TTM)
1.72
P/FCF (TTM)
84.30
Rev YoY
+63.0%
EPS YoY
+259.0%
Gross Margin
+42.9%
Op Margin
+38.8%
Net Debt
-$806.88M
Current Ratio
9.99
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data