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TNET

TriNet GroupF
NYSE / Commercial & Professional Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Margin expansion and stronger client growth, coupled with positive analyst revisions, drive multiple re-rating toward the bull target; key catalysts are operational improvements and an improving SMB hiring backdrop.
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-10-29 · BMO.
What can break
Regulatory or compliance changes for PEO models
Momentum
87
Value
66
Sentiment
0
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $12.39 · Bull $18.59 · Bear $8.30Analysis 2026-01-16; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Earnings
2026-10-29 · BMO
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-01-16 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade F · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $66.20
Why
Momentum87 · Δ7d +5.4
Value66 · Δ7d -0.5
Sentiment0 · Δ7d 0.0
So what
Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.

Confirming evidence

  • • Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-10-29 · BMO.
  • • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.5.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Regulatory or compliance changes for PEO models
  • • Rising benefits/claims costs
  • • Weaker SMB demand, higher benefit/claims costs, or negative guidance compresses margins and multiples, moving the stock toward the bear target.

Catalyst clock

2026-10-29 · BMO

Analyst revisions / coverage updates (window-end assumption)

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
87
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+5.4
Δ21d
+11.8
Value
66
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.5
Δ21d
-2.0
Sentiment
0
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
0.0
Why this grade

Composite grade F. Momentum 87.0 / Value 65.6 / Sentiment 0.0

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-01-16. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$18.59
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-01-16 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Most likely
B
Base case
60%
Probability
Target price
$12.39
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-01-16 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$8.30
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-01-16 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$3.48B
Beta
0.81
Shares Out
45.9M
P/E (TTM)
22.0
P/S (TTM)
0.57
P/FCF (TTM)
15.38
Rev YoY
-4.8%
EPS YoY
+52.6%
Gross Margin
+17.7%
Op Margin
+6.6%
Net Debt
-$1.04B
Current Ratio
1.13
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data