B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$202.65
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-26 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
TJX
TJX CompaniesBNYSE / Consumer Discretionary Distribution & Retail
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
TJX benefits from resilient consumer demand for value retail, continued share gains in apparel and home categories, and operating leverage from scale—driving upside toward the high end of sell-side targets if comps and margins beat expectations [#SERP-3].
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
1 setup hits (3d) with net bearish as of 2026-09-09.
What can break
Disappointing same-store sales or margin guidance
Momentum
17
Value
48
Sentiment
76
Setup hits (3d)
1 · Net Bearish
AI TargetsBase $166.00 · Bull $202.65 · Bear $140.00Analysis 2026-02-26; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-11 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-02-26 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-11
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-11
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-11. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Bearish
Target $171.58
Why
Momentum17 · Δ7d -0.3
Value48 · Δ7d -0.0
Sentiment76 · Δ7d 0.0
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Bearish). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.
Confirming evidence
- • 1 setup hits (3d) with net bearish as of 2026-09-09.
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta 0.0.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Disappointing same-store sales or margin guidance
- • Inventory glut forcing deeper markdowns
- • A deeper consumer slowdown, inventory missteps, or margin compression from freight/markdowns could push multiples and fundamentals lower, producing sustained underperformance versus peers and dragging the stock below current levels.
Catalyst clock
2026-05-27
Next quarterly earnings release
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
17
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-0.3
Δ21d
-9.9
Value
48
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.0
Δ21d
+0.2
Sentiment
76
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
+11.5
Why this grade
Composite grade B. Momentum 16.7 / Value 48.3 / Sentiment 75.8
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-02-26. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
55%
Probability
Target price
$166.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-26 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$140.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-26 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$166.64B
Beta
0.74
Shares Out
1.1B
P/E (TTM)
34.0
P/S (TTM)
2.90
P/FCF (TTM)
65.08
Rev YoY
+5.4%
EPS YoY
+23.5%
Gross Margin
+31.9%
Op Margin
+12.5%
Net Debt
$7.26B
Current Ratio
1.15
As of 2026-09-11 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data