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TIGR

UP FintechB
Nasdaq / Financial Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
SEC-filed results confirm strong Q1 revenue, funded-account, client-asset, and net-inflow growth, with management reporting recovery of Q1 mark-to-market losses in early Q2. The $6.993 median target in the packet implies upside, but target-count coverage is unavailable.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +3.5.
What can break
Analyst coverage and revision data are unavailable, and the supplied peer candidates are not close operating comparables.
Momentum
28
Value
63
Sentiment
68
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $5.50 · Bull $7.00 · Bear $3.50Analysis 2026-08-04; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-04 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $7.09
Why
Momentum28 · Δ7d +6.9
Value63 · Δ7d +0.7
Sentiment68 · Δ7d +3.5
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +3.5.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • Analyst coverage and revision data are unavailable, and the supplied peer candidates are not close operating comparables.
  • Q1 market turbulence caused $4.9 billion of mark-to-market client-asset losses and a 3.2% sequential decline in client assets, underscoring sensitivity to market conditions. [#SEC-6K-2026-06-02] [#EARNINGS-TRANSCRIPT-2026Q1]
  • The SEC filing confirms a $59.7 million regulatory penalty and a Q1 net loss of $26.9 million versus prior-year net income of $30.4 million.

Catalyst clock

2026-11-02

Q2 operating follow-through after Q1 growth

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
28
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+6.9
Δ21d
+17.6
Value
63
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.7
Δ21d
+0.9
Sentiment
68
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+3.5
Δ21d
-4.4
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 28.4 / Value 63.0 / Sentiment 68.0

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-04. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$7.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-04 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$5.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-04 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$3.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-04 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$909.38M
Beta
0.48
Shares Out
181.38M
P/E (TTM)
13.4
P/S (TTM)
3.53
P/FCF (TTM)
2.39
Rev YoY
+26.5%
EPS YoY
-191.7%
Gross Margin
+95.1%
Op Margin
+45.3%
Net Debt
-$4.1B
Current Ratio
1.10
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data