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TIGO

Millicom InternationalD
Nasdaq / Telecommunication Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Faster ARPU recovery, successful M&A or capital-allocation actions, and multiple expansion re-rate the stock above peers.
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +1.1.
What can break
ARPU erosion from competition and pricing pressure
Momentum
34
Value
55
Sentiment
34
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $62.00 · Bull $95.00 · Bear $38.00Analysis 2026-02-27; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-02-27 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade D · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $97.01
Why
Momentum34 · Δ7d -7.8
Value55 · Δ7d +1.1
Sentiment34 · Δ7d +5.8
So what
Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.

Confirming evidence

  • • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +1.1.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • ARPU erosion from competition and pricing pressure
  • • Execution risk on M&A or network investments
  • • Adverse regulatory rulings, FX shocks, or persistent ARPU/margin pressure drive earnings and multiple compression toward lower analyst bounds.

Catalyst clock

2026-05-28

FY2025 / Q4 earnings release (assumed reporting window end)

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
34
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-7.8
Δ21d
-32.3
Value
55
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+1.1
Δ21d
+1.5
Sentiment
34
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+5.8
Δ21d
+5.4
Why this grade

Composite grade D. Momentum 34.0 / Value 55.3 / Sentiment 33.9

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-02-27. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$95.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-27 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Most likely
B
Base case
55%
Probability
Target price
$62.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-27 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$38.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-27 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$13.13B
Beta
0.92
Shares Out
167.54M
P/E (TTM)
8.8
P/S (TTM)
1.71
P/FCF (TTM)
16.98
Rev YoY
+59.4%
EPS YoY
-84.0%
Gross Margin
+53.4%
Op Margin
+23.0%
Net Debt
$7.87B
Current Ratio
0.53
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data