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TG

TredegarA
NYSE / Materials
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
If TSLOTS demand scales and One Tredegar produces durable savings, operating improvement could outlast Q2's metal-related tailwinds. This is conditional, not a demonstrated run rate.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.5.
What can break
Low analyst coverage and loose peer comparability limit valuation confidence.
Momentum
80
Value
70
Sentiment
62
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $8.00 · Bull $10.00 · Bear $5.20Analysis 2026-10-26; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-26 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-26 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-10-26 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-26

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-26. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade A · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Why
Momentum80 · Δ7d +35.0
Value70 · Δ7d +0.5
Sentiment62 · Δ7d +11.1
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.5.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Low analyst coverage and loose peer comparability limit valuation confidence.
  • • One Tredegar savings remain unquantified and depend on execution. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-07]
  • • The expected Q3 reversal of FIFO and metal-price benefits may expose weak extrusion volumes; High Performance Films Q2 EBITDA also declined year over year.

Catalyst clock

2026-11-30

Third-quarter aluminum margin reset

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
80
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+35.0
Δ21d
+56.2
Value
70
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.5
Δ21d
-0.8
Sentiment
62
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+11.1
Δ21d
-15.7
Why this grade

Composite grade A. Momentum 80.2 / Value 70.2 / Sentiment 62.1

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-10-26. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
0%
Probability
Target price
$10.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-26 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
0%
Probability
Target price
$8.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-26 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
0%
Probability
Target price
$5.20
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-26 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-26
Market Cap
$255.44M
Beta
0.66
Shares Out
34.94M
P/E (TTM)
107.8
P/S (TTM)
0.45
P/FCF (TTM)
12.59
Rev YoY
+20.7%
EPS YoY
+246.8%
Gross Margin
+13.7%
Op Margin
+4.2%
Net Debt
$41.54M
Current Ratio
1.73
As of 2026-10-26 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data