TG
TredegarBNYSE / Materials
Last Price
At close
2026-07-18
Current thesis
The post-print bull case is that Tredegar is showing real recovery in Aluminum Extrusions profitability despite weak order trends, while High Performance Films softness was framed as expected and customer-specific rather than a broader franchise break. Cash rose to $15.6 million, operating cash flow turned positive, and the company said it remained in covenant compliance with roughly $76 million of ABL availability [#8-K-2026-05-08][#10-Q-2026-05-08].
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.5.
What can break
Aluminum Extrusions net new orders fell 20% year over year and open orders remained below normalized demand levels [#10-Q-2026-05-08].
Momentum
41
Value
66
Sentiment
58
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $8.40 · Bull $9.80 · Bear $6.90
Data freshness
Prices
As of 2026-07-18
Fundamentals
As of 2026-07-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-07-18 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-05-14 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-07-18
Investment thesis
As of 2026-07-18
Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Why
Momentum41 · Δ7d -19.6
Value66 · Δ7d -0.5
Sentiment58 · Δ7d -0.9
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.
Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
41
26% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-19.6
Δ21d
-1.7
Value
66
39% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.5
Δ21d
+1.9
Sentiment
58
34% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.9
Δ21d
+10.2
Why this grade
Composite grade B. Momentum 40.8 / Value 66.2 / Sentiment 57.9
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-07-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-07-17
Market Cap
$263.33M
Beta
0.66
Shares Out
35.02M
P/E (TTM)
107.8
P/S (TTM)
0.45
P/FCF (TTM)
12.59
Rev YoY
+13.2%
EPS YoY
+1047.7%
Gross Margin
+14.2%
Op Margin
-0.1%
Net Debt
$41.54M
Current Ratio
1.72
As of 2026-07-18 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology

