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TG

TredegarB
NYSE / Materials
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Q2 demonstrated stronger profitability, especially in Aluminum Extrusions, while TSLOTS, cost reduction, capital discipline, and adjacent-market expansion could support a better medium-term earnings mix. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-07]
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +6.5.
What can break
Aluminum Extrusions volume declined year over year, while High Performance Films EBITDA declined year over year. [#PR-EARNINGS-2026-08-13]
Momentum
28
Value
70
Sentiment
67
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $8.40 · Bull $9.50 · Bear $6.40Analysis 2026-08-26; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-26 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Why
Momentum28 · Δ7d +5.9
Value70 · Δ7d 0.0
Sentiment67 · Δ7d +6.5
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +6.5.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Aluminum Extrusions volume declined year over year, while High Performance Films EBITDA declined year over year. [#PR-EARNINGS-2026-08-13]
  • • Mixed market conditions, economic uncertainty, trade-policy pressure, labor costs, maintenance, freight, and productivity issues could pressure margins. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-07]
  • • The Q2 improvement was materially assisted by metal-related margin tailwinds and FIFO timing that management expects to fade in Q3.

Catalyst clock

2026-08-07

Q2 earnings improvement

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
28
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
+5.9
Δ21d
-15.8
Value
70
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
+4.0
Sentiment
67
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+6.5
Δ21d
-13.3
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 27.9 / Value 70.4 / Sentiment 67.2

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-26. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$9.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-26 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$8.40
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-26 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$6.40
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-26 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$278.85M
Beta
0.66
Shares Out
34.94M
P/E (TTM)
107.8
P/S (TTM)
0.45
P/FCF (TTM)
12.59
Rev YoY
+20.7%
EPS YoY
+246.8%
Gross Margin
+13.7%
Op Margin
+4.2%
Net Debt
$41.54M
Current Ratio
1.73
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data