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TEX

TerexA
NYSE / Capital Goods
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Pro forma second-quarter sales grew 8.5%, bookings grew 25.2%, and Terex raised its full-year outlook. Sustained backlog conversion and integration benefits could support a recovery from the $52.35 October 8 price anchor.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-10-28 · BMO.
What can break
A 90% second-quarter book-to-bill raises uncertainty about the pace of backlog replenishment. [#SEC-8K-2026-07-30]
Momentum
22
Value
65
Sentiment
66
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $58.00 · Bull $70.00 · Bear $39.00Analysis 2026-10-09; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Earnings
2026-10-28 · BMO
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-10-09 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade A · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $75.46
Why
Momentum22 · Δ7d +3.1
Value65 · Δ7d -0.1
Sentiment66 · Δ7d -0.7
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-10-28 · BMO.
  • • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.1.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • A 90% second-quarter book-to-bill raises uncertainty about the pace of backlog replenishment. [#SEC-8K-2026-07-30]
  • • Environmental Solutions margin fell to 17.5% from 20.0% amid utility ramp inefficiencies and lower refuse-vehicle volume. [#SEC-8K-2026-07-30]
  • • The 90% book-to-bill, mixed end markets, and Environmental Solutions margin decline leave execution risk despite the raised outlook.

Catalyst clock

2026-10-28 · BMO

Delivery against raised 2026 outlook

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
22
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
+3.1
Δ21d
-12.3
Value
65
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.1
Δ21d
+0.8
Sentiment
66
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.7
Δ21d
+0.9
Why this grade

Composite grade A. Momentum 21.8 / Value 65.3 / Sentiment 65.7

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-10-09. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$70.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-09 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$58.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-09 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$39.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-09 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$5.86B
Beta
1.68
Shares Out
114.3M
P/E (TTM)
23.9
P/S (TTM)
0.69
P/FCF (TTM)
15.89
Rev YoY
+50.5%
EPS YoY
-11.8%
Gross Margin
+16.3%
Op Margin
+7.0%
Net Debt
$1.94B
Current Ratio
1.82
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data