B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$410.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-04-29 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
TER
TeradyneDNasdaq / Semiconductors & Semiconductor Equipment
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
The bull case after the print is that Teradyne decisively beat its own Q1 guidance, posted record revenue and earnings, and showed AI-related demand broad enough to lift Semiconductor Test, Product Test, and Robotics simultaneously [#8-K-2026-04-29]. If the Q2 step-down is mostly normal sequencing after an exceptional quarter, the selloff could prove too severe.
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
12 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-09.
What can break
Q2 guidance implies sequential declines in both revenue and earnings from the Q1 peak, so the burden of proof shifted back to execution [#8-K-2026-04-29].
Momentum
78
Value
52
Sentiment
46
Setup hits (3d)
12 · Net Bullish
AI TargetsBase $320.00 · Bull $410.00 · Bear $260.00Analysis 2026-04-29; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-10 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-04-29 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-10
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-10
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-10. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade D · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Bullish
Target $455.92
Why
Momentum78 · Δ7d +10.2
Value52 · Δ7d -0.0
Sentiment46 · Δ7d -10.4
So what
Weak posture (Net Bullish). Prioritize risk control and patience.
Confirming evidence
- • 12 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-09.
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -10.4.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Q2 guidance implies sequential declines in both revenue and earnings from the Q1 peak, so the burden of proof shifted back to execution [#8-K-2026-04-29].
- • Roughly 70% of Q1 revenue was tied to AI-related demand, which boosts upside but also raises concentration and cycle-risk if a few large compute or memory programs pause [#8-K-2026-04-29].
- • The bear case is that the market was already discounting a very strong AI cycle, and the company immediately followed a record quarter with lower sequential Q2 revenue and EPS guidance, which Reuters linked to the post-release selloff.
Catalyst clock
2026-07-29
Q2 execution must validate that the post-Q1 guide-down is only a sequencing step
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
78
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+10.2
Δ21d
-5.3
Value
52
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.0
Δ21d
+2.8
Sentiment
46
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-10.4
Δ21d
-1.2
Why this grade
Composite grade D. Momentum 78.2 / Value 52.1 / Sentiment 46.0
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-04-29. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$320.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-04-29 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$260.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-04-29 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$69.28B
Beta
1.83
Shares Out
156.34M
P/E (TTM)
79.9
P/S (TTM)
12.02
P/FCF (TTM)
90.52
Rev YoY
+104.0%
EPS YoY
+385.3%
Gross Margin
+59.1%
Op Margin
+30.9%
Net Debt
-$38.76M
Current Ratio
2.12
As of 2026-09-10 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data