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TEN

Tsakos Energy NavigationC
NYSE / Energy
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
The quarter validated operating leverage: utilization rose to 98.3%, TCE reached $40,960 per vessel per day, adjusted EBITDA increased to $154.0 million, and management returned more cash via a $1.00 semi-annual dividend while adding about $83 million of free cash from the VLCC sale. The backlog and long-dated chartering provide visible earnings support if tanker fundamentals stay firm.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -12.7.
What can break
Newbuild and long-dated charter execution risk remains; any delay, cost inflation, or financing strain could weaken the rerating case.
Momentum
73
Value
51
Sentiment
57
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $43.00 · Bull $49.00 · Bear $34.00Analysis 2026-05-24; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-11 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-05-24 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-11

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-11. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $50.33
Why
Momentum73 · Δ7d -0.7
Value51 · Δ7d +0.1
Sentiment57 · Δ7d -12.7
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -12.7.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Newbuild and long-dated charter execution risk remains; any delay, cost inflation, or financing strain could weaken the rerating case.
  • • Tanker-rate strength and geopolitically driven ton-mile tightness can reverse, pressuring spot and profit-sharing upside.
  • • Shipping cash flows remain cyclical and sensitive to tanker-rate normalization, geopolitical shifts, vessel availability, and execution on the newbuild program.

Catalyst clock

2026-05-21

Q1 2026 profit jump and $1.00 dividend reset

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
73
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.7
Δ21d
-8.7
Value
51
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.1
Δ21d
+0.9
Sentiment
57
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-12.7
Δ21d
-13.1
Why this grade

Composite grade C. Momentum 73.3 / Value 51.2 / Sentiment 57.0

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-05-24. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$49.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-24 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$43.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-24 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$34.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-24 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$1.24B
Beta
-0.21
Shares Out
29.45M
P/E (TTM)
6.9
P/S (TTM)
0.87
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
-3.51
Rev YoY
+28.4%
EPS YoY
+162.8%
Gross Margin
+39.5%
Op Margin
+34.3%
Net Debt
$1.6B
Current Ratio
0.95
As of 2026-09-11 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data