B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$265.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-06 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
TEL
TE ConnectivityBNYSE / Technology Hardware & Equipment
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Q3's 12% organic sales growth, 27% order growth and 90-basis-point adjusted margin expansion support a positive operating prior. Delivery against Q4 guidance and sustained Industrial demand could justify the $265 bull scenario.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
2 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-10-26.
What can break
Adjusted margin gains reversing despite continued investment for growth.
Momentum
70
Value
59
Sentiment
59
Setup hits (3d)
2 · Net Bullish
AI TargetsBase $236.00 · Bull $265.00 · Bear $180.00Analysis 2026-10-06; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Earnings
64 · Speculative
Next 2026-10-28 · BMO
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-26 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-26 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-10-06 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Earnings Setup
As of 2026-10-27 • RankAlpha AI
Investment thesisAs of 2026-10-26
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-26
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-26. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Bullish
Target $255.06
Why
Momentum70 · Δ7d +8.4
Value59 · Δ7d -0.2
Sentiment59 · Δ7d +0.3
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Bullish). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.
Earnings surprise screen
64Speculative2026-10-28 bmo
TE Connectivity has a positive Zacks Earnings ESP and a record-order backdrop, with its prior-quarter release describing broad double-digit order growth and another quarter of expected double-digit sales and EPS growth. The Oct. 26 close was near the top of its daily range, but price gains were modest and recent volume did not approach 1.5x normal, leaving this a watchlist setup rather than a strong pre-event signal.
Screen as of 2026-10-27. Window 2026-10-27 to 2026-11-02.
Confirming evidence
- • 2 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-10-26.
- • Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-10-28 · BMO.
- • Pre-earnings setup: 64 / speculative.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Adjusted margin gains reversing despite continued investment for growth.
- • Astrodyne TDI regulatory or closing delays, or weaker-than-expected acquisition returns.
- • Order growth may not convert to revenue at the same pace; weaker demand, margin pressure or acquisition delays could undermine the fiscal 2027 growth case.
Catalyst clock
2026-10-28 · BMO
Fiscal Q4 guidance test
Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
70
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+8.4
Δ21d
+4.3
Value
59
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.2
Δ21d
-0.4
Sentiment
59
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.3
Δ21d
-25.6
Why this grade
Composite grade B. Momentum 70.2 / Value 59.5 / Sentiment 59.0
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-10-06. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$236.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-06 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$180.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-06 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-10-26
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-26
Market Cap
$61.92B
Beta
1.24
Shares Out
289.51M
P/E (TTM)
37.4
P/S (TTM)
3.94
P/FCF (TTM)
28.36
Rev YoY
+13.8%
EPS YoY
+19.2%
Gross Margin
+36.9%
Op Margin
+21.2%
Net Debt
$4.93B
Current Ratio
1.88
As of 2026-10-26 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data