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TECK

Teck ResourcesC
NYSE / Materials
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Sustained commodity-price recovery, disciplined capital allocation (buybacks/dividends), and contained Trail-related costs expand free cash flow and re-rate the stock toward the bull target.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
6 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-09.
What can break
Major permitting or regulatory setbacks
Momentum
77
Value
62
Sentiment
52
Setup hits (3d)
6 · Net Bullish
AI TargetsBase $59.00 · Bull $72.00 · Bear $45.00Analysis 2026-02-19; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-02-19 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Bullish
Target $65.56
Why
Momentum77 · Δ7d +3.6
Value62 · Δ7d 0.0
Sentiment52 · Δ7d -3.0
So what
Balanced signals (Net Bullish). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.

Confirming evidence

  • • 6 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-09.
  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -3.0.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Major permitting or regulatory setbacks
  • • Operational failure or cost overruns at Trail or other assets
  • • Prolonged commodity weakness, larger-than-expected Trail remediation or impairments, or poor capital allocation compress cash flow and multiple, pushing the stock toward the bear target.

Catalyst clock

2026-05-20

Permitting / project decision (expansion)

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
77
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+3.6
Δ21d
-3.2
Value
62
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
+11.6
Sentiment
52
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-3.0
Δ21d
-11.4
Why this grade

Composite grade C. Momentum 77.1 / Value 62.1 / Sentiment 52.3

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-02-19. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$72.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-19 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Most likely
B
Base case
60%
Probability
Target price
$59.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-19 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
B-
Bear case
15%
Probability
Target price
$45.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-19 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$31.82B
Beta
1.54
Shares Out
490.6M
P/E (TTM)
27.8
P/S (TTM)
3.20
P/FCF (TTM)
2399.89
Rev YoY
+78.2%
EPS YoY
+319.1%
Gross Margin
+34.0%
Op Margin
+29.3%
Net Debt
$3.35B
Current Ratio
3.12
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data