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TCX

TucowsD
Nasdaq / Software & Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Domains mix improvement, disciplined Wavelo investment, and a successful Ting strategic outcome could improve recurring-revenue quality, margins, and liquidity. The bull case remains execution-dependent and lacks analyst-target confirmation.
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -22.6.
What can break
Peer comparisons are loose and do not provide a robust relative-valuation anchor.
Momentum
5
Value
54
Sentiment
44
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $9.40 · Bull $12.00 · Bear $7.20Analysis 2026-07-17; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-10 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-07-17 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-10

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-10. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade D · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Why
Momentum5 · Δ7d -1.7
Value54 · Δ7d 0.0
Sentiment44 · Δ7d -22.6
So what
Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -22.6.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Peer comparisons are loose and do not provide a robust relative-valuation anchor.
  • • Syndicated debt renewal and liquidity remain material medium-term risks.
  • • The deterministic prior remains negative, with expected returns of -3.18% over 20 days, -5.09% over 60 days, and -6.68% over 120 days.

Catalyst clock

2026-10-15

Ting strategic-process outcome

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
5
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-1.7
Δ21d
-
Value
54
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
+6.9
Sentiment
44
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-22.6
Δ21d
-
Why this grade

Composite grade D. Momentum 5.3 / Value 54.4 / Sentiment 43.8

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-07-17. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$12.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-07-17 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$9.40
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-07-17 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
30%
Probability
Target price
$7.20
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-07-17 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$120.54M
Beta
1.00
Shares Out
11.18M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
-1.6
P/S (TTM)
0.62
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
-8.32
Rev YoY
+2.1%
EPS YoY
+29.9%
Gross Margin
+25.7%
Op Margin
-1.9%
Net Debt
$629.66M
Current Ratio
0.28
As of 2026-09-10 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data