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TAYD

Taylor DevicesB
Nasdaq / Capital Goods
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
The $52.8M record backlog, 92% Aerospace/Defense mix, and $19M largest-ever order provide a credible path to stronger FY27 revenue if conversion is timely. Cost control also limited gross-margin decline to 44% from 46% [#PR-EARNINGS-2026-08-18].
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite.
What can break
Backlog is concentrated in Aerospace/Defense and includes a single $19M order, increasing delivery and customer-concentration risk.
Momentum
76
Value
59
Sentiment
69
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $63.00 · Bull $76.00 · Bear $48.00Analysis 2026-08-26; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-18 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-11 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-26 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-11

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-11. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $70.00
Why
Momentum76 · Δ7d -
Value59 · Δ7d -0.0
Sentiment69 · Δ7d -
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Backlog is concentrated in Aerospace/Defense and includes a single $19M order, increasing delivery and customer-concentration risk.
  • • Delayed order placement may continue to defer revenue recognition.
  • • FY26 sales fell about 10% and net income about 9%, while the CEO attributed the shortfall to delayed customer orders and weaker non-Aerospace/Defense markets.

Catalyst clock

2026-11-24

FY27 results will test backlog conversion

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
76
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendTrend unavailable
Trend unavailable
Δ7d
-
Δ21d
-
Value
59
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.0
Δ21d
-4.2
Sentiment
69
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendTrend unavailable
Trend unavailable
Δ7d
-
Δ21d
-
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 76.3 / Value 58.9 / Sentiment 68.8

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-26. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$76.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-26 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$63.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-26 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$48.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-26 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-18
Market Cap
$178.16M
Beta
0.95
Shares Out
3.22M
P/E (TTM)
22.8
P/S (TTM)
4.47
P/FCF (TTM)
15.14
Rev YoY
-42.5%
EPS YoY
-52.2%
Gross Margin
+44.1%
Op Margin
+17.6%
Net Debt
-$41.48M
Current Ratio
12.76
As of 2026-09-11 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data