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TATT

TATB
Nasdaq / Capital Goods
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
The bull case is that the quarter was noisy but not broken: the company kept a large backlog/LTAs base, improved gross margin, and turned operating cash flow positive, so if supplier disruptions fade, growth can reaccelerate from a stronger starting point [#6-K-2026-05-20].
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +5.6.
What can break
Revenue and EPS missed in Q1, so the market will want a cleaner Q2 before re-rating the story.
Momentum
17
Value
53
Sentiment
76
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $35.50 · Bull $52.00 · Bear $27.50Analysis 2026-05-23; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-05-23 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $60.71
Why
Momentum17 · Δ7d +0.8
Value53 · Δ7d +0.1
Sentiment76 · Δ7d +5.6
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +5.6.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Revenue and EPS missed in Q1, so the market will want a cleaner Q2 before re-rating the story.
  • • Small-cap capital-goods names can de-rate quickly if backlog conversion slips or if working-capital and margin execution prove uneven.
  • • The bear case is that Q1 still missed on revenue and EPS, with execution tied to supplier disruptions and delayed deliveries, so the recovery path depends on management actually converting backlog into revenue.

Catalyst clock

2026-05-20

Q1 2026 print was mixed but backlog stayed high

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
17
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.8
Δ21d
-21.8
Value
53
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.1
Δ21d
+0.8
Sentiment
76
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+5.6
Δ21d
+2.6
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 17.4 / Value 53.4 / Sentiment 75.5

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-05-23. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$52.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-23 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$35.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-23 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$27.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-23 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$411.39M
Beta
0.93
Shares Out
13M
P/E (TTM)
37.5
P/S (TTM)
3.69
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
56.47
Rev YoY
+22.8%
EPS YoY
+108.3%
Gross Margin
+25.0%
Op Margin
+9.9%
Net Debt
-$33.63M
Current Ratio
4.83
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data