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TAL

TAL Education GroupB
NYSE / Consumer Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Q1 showed substantial revenue growth and operating-income expansion, while management described healthy offline demand and a two-pillar model spanning learning services and content solutions. [#PR-EARNINGS-2026-07-30] [#EARNINGS-TRANSCRIPT-2027Q1]
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
2 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-09.
What can break
Cash, cash equivalents, and short-term investments declined to $2.8745 billion from $3.2393 billion sequentially; the cause was not established in the supplied context. [#PR-EARNINGS-2026-07-30]
Momentum
82
Value
48
Sentiment
76
Setup hits (3d)
2 · Net Bullish
AI TargetsBase $12.50 · Bull $16.78 · Bear $10.50Analysis 2026-08-04; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-08 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-04 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-08

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-08. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Bullish
Target $16.78
Why
Momentum82 · Δ7d +4.5
Value48 · Δ7d 0.0
Sentiment76 · Δ7d -1.1
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Bullish). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • 2 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-09.
  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -1.1.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Cash, cash equivalents, and short-term investments declined to $2.8745 billion from $3.2393 billion sequentially; the cause was not established in the supplied context. [#PR-EARNINGS-2026-07-30]
  • • No quantitative FY2027 guidance was provided in the supplied excerpt; forward visibility remains limited.
  • • The strong print lacks a verified consensus comparison, quantitative forward guidance, and reliable post-print analyst revision data.

Catalyst clock

2026-07-30

Strong Q1 FY2027 reported results

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
82
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+4.5
Δ21d
-4.0
Value
48
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
+0.2
Sentiment
76
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-1.1
Δ21d
-8.7
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 82.5 / Value 48.4 / Sentiment 75.7

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-04. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$16.78
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-04 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$12.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-04 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
30%
Probability
Target price
$10.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-04 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$5.62B
Beta
0.06
Shares Out
334.09M
P/E (TTM)
39.3
P/S (TTM)
2.63
P/FCF (TTM)
15.82
Rev YoY
+31.7%
EPS YoY
+1333.3%
Gross Margin
+56.0%
Op Margin
+12.4%
Net Debt
-$3.08B
Current Ratio
1.69
As of 2026-09-08 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data