B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$96.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-02 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
SYY
SyscoCNYSE / Consumer Staples Distribution & Retail
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Fiscal Q4 volume gains and reaffirmed FY2027 guidance support upside if Sysco delivers. Its September 9 release also raised standalone FY2028-FY2029 sales and adjusted EPS growth targets, but the $500 million efficiency program remains an execution target.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.1.
What can break
FTC second-request review may delay or block the proposed Jetro transaction; Sysco's FY2026 10-K describes a possible $1.164 billion termination fee under specified circumstances. [#10-K-2026-08-21]
Momentum
49
Value
52
Sentiment
53
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $81.00 · Bull $96.00 · Bear $58.00Analysis 2026-10-02; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-10-02 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-10-23
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $91.09
Why
Momentum49 · Δ7d -1.0
Value52 · Δ7d +0.1
Sentiment53 · Δ7d +2.1
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.
Confirming evidence
- • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.1.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • FTC second-request review may delay or block the proposed Jetro transaction; Sysco's FY2026 10-K describes a possible $1.164 billion termination fee under specified circumstances. [#10-K-2026-08-21]
- • FY2027 guidance and the FY2029 efficiency target depend on sustained volume, margins and delivery of specified cost-saving workstreams. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-04] [#PR-2026-09-09]
- • The FTC second request could delay, constrain or prevent the Jetro acquisition.
Catalyst clock
2026-11-30
Test whether U.S. local case-volume gains persist
Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
49
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
-1.0
Δ21d
-3.0
Value
52
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.1
Δ21d
-1.2
Sentiment
53
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+2.1
Δ21d
-14.2
Why this grade
Composite grade C. Momentum 48.5 / Value 52.5 / Sentiment 52.8
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-10-02. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$81.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-02 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
30%
Probability
Target price
$58.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-02 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-10-23
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$40.03B
Beta
0.61
Shares Out
491.93M
P/E (TTM)
19.5
P/S (TTM)
0.42
P/FCF (TTM)
58.98
Rev YoY
+4.7%
EPS YoY
+4.5%
Gross Margin
+18.4%
Op Margin
+4.2%
Net Debt
$13.18B
Current Ratio
1.28
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data