B+
Bull case
30%
Probability
Target price
$130.33
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
SYNA
SynapticsCNasdaq / Semiconductors & Semiconductor Equipment
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
The earnings print supports a positive operating read: FY2026 revenue rose 11%, Core IoT grew 43%, Q4 exceeded company guidance midpoint, and operating margin reached a 13-quarter high. Edge AI design wins and Astra sampling provide longer-term hooks.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +8.0.
What can break
Astra SR-Series sampling and reported design wins may not convert into near-term revenue.
Momentum
25
Value
54
Sentiment
68
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $106.19 · Bull $130.33 · Bear $90.26Analysis 2026-08-08; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-08 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-09
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $131.25
Why
Momentum25 · Δ7d -0.5
Value54 · Δ7d 0.0
Sentiment68 · Δ7d +8.0
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.
Confirming evidence
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +8.0.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Astra SR-Series sampling and reported design wins may not convert into near-term revenue.
- • Merger closing, regulatory approval, and all-stock consideration may create uncertainty.
- • The transaction removes normal earnings-call and guidance visibility, while the all-stock merger introduces closing and valuation-basis risk.
Catalyst clock
2026-08-07
Q4 FY2026 results exceeded company guidance midpoint
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
25
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-0.5
Δ21d
+8.9
Value
54
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
+0.6
Sentiment
68
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+8.0
Δ21d
+16.3
Why this grade
Composite grade C. Momentum 25.1 / Value 54.4 / Sentiment 68.0
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-08. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$106.19
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$90.26
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$4.32B
Beta
1.72
Shares Out
39.11M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
-8.8
P/S (TTM)
2.78
P/FCF (TTM)
21.33
Rev YoY
+8.9%
EPS YoY
+9367.1%
Gross Margin
+45.5%
Op Margin
-2.9%
Net Debt
$434.3M
Current Ratio
1.12
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data