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SXT

SensientD
NYSE / Materials
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Primary evidence improved after Q1: all three operating groups grew, Color was the standout, Portfolio Optimization Plan drag rolled off versus the prior-year quarter, leverage improved to 2.4x net debt to credit-adjusted EBITDA, and management raised FY2026 EPS guidance. That supports a constructive but still monitoring-style stance rather than an aggressive rerating call.
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-10-30 · BMO.
What can break
After the post-earnings move, the raised 2026 outlook likely needs further confirmation at the July 24, 2026 earnings checkpoint to sustain upside.
Momentum
86
Value
41
Sentiment
51
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $119.00 · Bull $126.00 · Bear $104.00Analysis 2026-05-01; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Earnings
2026-10-30 · BMO
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-26 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-05-01 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-26

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-26. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade D · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $144.40
Why
Momentum86 · Δ7d +2.0
Value41 · Δ7d -0.1
Sentiment51 · Δ7d -0.4
So what
Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.

Confirming evidence

  • • Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-10-30 · BMO.
  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.4.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • After the post-earnings move, the raised 2026 outlook likely needs further confirmation at the July 24, 2026 earnings checkpoint to sustain upside.
  • • Competition is intense across flavors, extracts, colors, and specialty ingredients, and the 10-K notes Sensient faces both large multinationals and specialized regional competitors [#10-K-2026-02-13].
  • • The stock already reacted positively after the print, and the packet shows only modest sell-side valuation headroom with a $119 median target versus the $113.64 anchor.

Catalyst clock

2026-10-30 · BMO

Q1 beat and FY2026 guidance raise

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
86
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+2.0
Δ21d
+12.8
Value
41
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.1
Δ21d
-0.3
Sentiment
51
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.4
Δ21d
-10.7
Why this grade

Composite grade D. Momentum 85.7 / Value 40.9 / Sentiment 50.5

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-05-01. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
30%
Probability
Target price
$126.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-01 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$119.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-01 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$104.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-01 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$5.65B
Beta
0.56
Shares Out
42.56M
P/E (TTM)
29.0
P/S (TTM)
2.53
P/FCF (TTM)
141.18
Rev YoY
+11.6%
EPS YoY
+36.1%
Gross Margin
+34.6%
Op Margin
+14.0%
Net Debt
$712.85M
Current Ratio
4.39
As of 2026-10-26 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data