B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$100.80
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-26 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
SWX
Southwest GasCNYSE / Utilities
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Regulatory outcomes and above‑forecast demand lead to improved allowed returns and stronger cash flow, pushing valuation toward the high end of analyst targets.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +6.8.
What can break
Adverse regulatory or rate-case outcomes
Momentum
59
Value
54
Sentiment
54
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $90.05 · Bull $100.80 · Bear $80.15Analysis 2026-02-26; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-02-26 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-09
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $104.17
Why
Momentum59 · Δ7d -10.0
Value54 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment54 · Δ7d +6.8
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.
Confirming evidence
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +6.8.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Adverse regulatory or rate-case outcomes
- • Operational disruptions or safety incidents
- • Adverse regulatory rulings, weak weather-driven volumes, or higher financing costs compress margins and dividend coverage, leading to downside toward the analyst low.
Catalyst clock
2026-05-27
Q1 2026 quarterly earnings release
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
59
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-10.0
Δ21d
+17.1
Value
54
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
-3.4
Sentiment
54
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+6.8
Δ21d
+6.0
Why this grade
Composite grade C. Momentum 59.2 / Value 53.8 / Sentiment 54.4
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-02-26. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
60%
Probability
Target price
$90.05
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-26 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$80.15
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-26 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$6.61B
Beta
0.64
Shares Out
72.45M
P/E (TTM)
29.0
P/S (TTM)
1.43
P/FCF (TTM)
24.73
Rev YoY
-9.6%
EPS YoY
-204.1%
Gross Margin
+34.2%
Op Margin
+28.7%
Net Debt
$2.93B
Current Ratio
1.12
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data