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SWMR

SwarmerD
Nasdaq / Capital Goods
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
SkyKnight options convert into deployments and recognized software revenue, while the proposed acquisition closes without excessive dilution. Neither outcome is established.
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +6.9.
What can break
Acquisition closing conditions, integration and contingent share issuance create substantial uncertainty. [#8-K-2026-09-10]
Momentum
1
Value
43
Sentiment
59
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $9.00 · Bull $16.00 · Bear $4.50Analysis 2026-10-15; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-10-15 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade D · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $60.00
Why
Momentum1 · Δ7d -0.1
Value43 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment59 · Δ7d +6.9
So what
Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +6.9.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Acquisition closing conditions, integration and contingent share issuance create substantial uncertainty. [#8-K-2026-09-10]
  • • Low coverage and unverified direct peers limit valuation confidence.
  • • Revenue remains small relative to spending, and acquisition consideration or further equity issuance dilutes holders before operating scale is demonstrated.

Catalyst clock

2026-12-31

Proposed Ratel Robotics acquisition

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
1
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.1
Δ21d
-0.3
Value
43
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
+0.0
Sentiment
59
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+6.9
Δ21d
+1.4
Why this grade

Composite grade D. Momentum 1.0 / Value 43.0 / Sentiment 59.2

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-10-15. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$16.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-15 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$9.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-15 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
35%
Probability
Target price
$4.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-15 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$141.52M
Beta
-
Shares Out
16.61M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
-14.2
P/S (TTM)
-
P/FCF (TTM)
-
Rev YoY
+56.6%
EPS YoY
+466.9%
Gross Margin
-
Op Margin
-
Net Debt
-$9.14M
Current Ratio
12.28
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data