B+
Bull case
0%
Probability
Target price
$12.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
SVV
Savers Value VillageCNYSE / Consumer Discretionary Distribution & Retail
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
The bullish read is that Q1 was a credible follow-up quarter: revenue grew 8.9%, U.S. comps were strong at 6.4%, adjusted EBITDA grew for a second straight quarter, and management reaffirmed FY2026 guidance rather than walking it down [#8-K-2026-05-06].
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +4.6.
What can break
Canada comparable store sales fell 0.6% in Q1, showing the demand picture is not uniformly strong across geographies [#8-K-2026-05-06].
Momentum
79
Value
55
Sentiment
51
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $9.50 · Bull $12.00 · Bear $6.75Analysis 2026-05-08; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-05-08 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-09
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $14.55
Why
Momentum79 · Δ7d -5.4
Value55 · Δ7d 0.0
Sentiment51 · Δ7d +4.6
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.
Confirming evidence
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +4.6.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Canada comparable store sales fell 0.6% in Q1, showing the demand picture is not uniformly strong across geographies [#8-K-2026-05-06].
- • FY2026 guidance was reaffirmed rather than raised, which limits evidence that the Q1 beat is translating into stronger forward expectations [#8-K-2026-05-06].
- • The bearish read is that Canada remained soft, GAAP results were still a net loss, and analysts trimmed price targets immediately after earnings rather than raising them.
Catalyst clock
2026-05-07
Post-earnings analyst resets were mixed, with target cuts despite maintained positive ratings
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
79
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-5.4
Δ21d
-3.2
Value
55
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
+1.5
Sentiment
51
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+4.6
Δ21d
+5.4
Why this grade
Composite grade C. Momentum 79.5 / Value 55.0 / Sentiment 50.9
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-05-08. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
1%
Probability
Target price
$9.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
0%
Probability
Target price
$6.75
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$1.63B
Beta
-
Shares Out
154.26M
P/E (TTM)
129.6
P/S (TTM)
0.95
P/FCF (TTM)
60.06
Rev YoY
+7.4%
EPS YoY
+16.7%
Gross Margin
+30.6%
Op Margin
+8.0%
Net Debt
$1.32B
Current Ratio
0.84
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data