B+
Bull case
22%
Probability
Target price
$10.25
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-17 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
SUNS
Sunrise Realty TrustBNasdaq / Financial Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
The post-earnings bull case is that SUNS covered its dividend with distributable earnings, grew interest income year over year, reduced funded-loan CECL reserves, and retained lending capacity for future portfolio growth.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite.
What can break
Analyst coverage appears thin and post-earnings estimate or target revisions were not available in the packet, limiting outside confirmation.
Momentum
15
Value
61
Sentiment
72
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $8.50 · Bull $10.25 · Bear $6.25Analysis 2026-05-17; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-05-17 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-09
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $10.50
Why
Momentum15 · Δ7d -
Value61 · Δ7d 0.0
Sentiment72 · Δ7d -
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.
Confirming evidence
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Analyst coverage appears thin and post-earnings estimate or target revisions were not available in the packet, limiting outside confirmation.
- • Book value per share slipped modestly to about $13.50 from $13.56 sequentially, so the discount to book is not enough without sustained execution.
- • The bear case is that this remains a small, externally managed CRE lender with limited coverage, low cash on hand, reliance on secured and affiliate financing, and results that can be affected by episodic repayments, credit marks, and portfolio timing.
Catalyst clock
2026-05-14
Q1 print supports dividend coverage but is not enough for a full rerating
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
15
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendTrend unavailable
Trend unavailable
Δ7d
-
Δ21d
-
Value
61
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
+0.2
Sentiment
72
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendTrend unavailable
Trend unavailable
Δ7d
-
Δ21d
-
Why this grade
Composite grade B. Momentum 15.1 / Value 61.5 / Sentiment 71.9
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-05-17. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
52%
Probability
Target price
$8.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-17 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
26%
Probability
Target price
$6.25
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-17 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$104.88M
Beta
-
Shares Out
13.52M
P/E (TTM)
8.9
P/S (TTM)
5.72
P/FCF (TTM)
701.28
Rev YoY
+26.8%
EPS YoY
-10.7%
Gross Margin
+87.2%
Op Margin
+65.9%
Net Debt
$115.55M
Current Ratio
1.19
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data