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SUNC

SunocoCorpB
NYSE / Energy
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
The Q2 print was materially stronger year over year, full-year EBITDA guidance was raised by $400 million, and distribution growth continued. If cash-flow performance and integration remain durable, SUNC could move toward the packet's $81.50 median target reference.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -7.3.
What can break
Balance-sheet sensitivity from approximately $13.3 billion of long-term debt versus approximately $2.3 billion of remaining liquidity at June 30, 2026. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-04]
Momentum
68
Value
59
Sentiment
64
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $81.00 · Bull $88.00 · Bear $66.00Analysis 2026-08-05; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-11 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-05 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-11

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-11. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $83.50
Why
Momentum68 · Δ7d +23.7
Value59 · Δ7d -0.0
Sentiment64 · Δ7d -7.3
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -7.3.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Balance-sheet sensitivity from approximately $13.3 billion of long-term debt versus approximately $2.3 billion of remaining liquidity at June 30, 2026. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-04]
  • • Execution and integration risk following the TanQuid acquisition.
  • • The balance sheet remains a key sensitivity, with approximately $13.3 billion of long-term debt and $2.3 billion of liquidity reported.

Catalyst clock

2026-08-04

Q2 2026 results and higher full-year EBITDA guidance

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
68
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+23.7
Δ21d
+9.2
Value
59
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.0
Δ21d
+0.0
Sentiment
64
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-7.3
Δ21d
-7.2
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 67.8 / Value 59.1 / Sentiment 63.8

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-05. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$88.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-05 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$81.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-05 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$66.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-05 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$3.89B
Beta
-
Shares Out
42.95M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
-933.0
P/S (TTM)
-
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
1733.82
Rev YoY
-
EPS YoY
-29.2%
Gross Margin
-
Op Margin
-
Net Debt
$13.96B
Current Ratio
1.29
As of 2026-09-11 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data