B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$24.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-07 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
STVN
Stevanato GroupCNYSE / Pharmaceuticals, Biotechnology & Life Sciences
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
The company-reported Q2 print was operationally constructive: revenue rose 8% to €302.0 million, high-value solutions grew 16% to €135.9 million, adjusted EPS was €0.14, and fiscal 2026 guidance was updated for higher organic growth and better currency translation [#PR-EARNINGS-2026-08-04]. The deterministic prior remains positive, with expected returns of 0.98% over 5 days, 2.8% over 20 days, and 4.49% over 60 days.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -6.1.
What can break
Engineering revenue declined 2% year over year, and the updated revenue guidance narrowed to a €1.260–€1.280 billion range.
Momentum
70
Value
54
Sentiment
55
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $21.20 · Bull $24.00 · Bear $16.50Analysis 2026-08-07; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-18 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-07 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-18
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-18
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-18. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $24.81
Why
Momentum70 · Δ7d +20.5
Value54 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment55 · Δ7d -6.1
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.
Confirming evidence
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -6.1.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Engineering revenue declined 2% year over year, and the updated revenue guidance narrowed to a €1.260–€1.280 billion range.
- • External consensus, analyst revisions, rating changes, and post-print price-reaction attribution remain unavailable.
- • The release did not provide a verified external-consensus comparison, and diluted EPS was €0.08 after €12.2 million of divestiture-related expenses.
Catalyst clock
2026-08-14
Divestiture charge and cash-flow pressure
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
70
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+20.5
Δ21d
+2.9
Value
54
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
-0.0
Sentiment
55
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-6.1
Δ21d
-2.4
Why this grade
Composite grade C. Momentum 69.7 / Value 53.8 / Sentiment 54.9
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-07. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$21.20
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-07 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
30%
Probability
Target price
$16.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-07 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$5.8B
Beta
0.58
Shares Out
273M
P/E (TTM)
34.9
P/S (TTM)
4.65
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
-197.40
Rev YoY
+10.6%
EPS YoY
-20.7%
Gross Margin
+28.3%
Op Margin
+16.6%
Net Debt
$397.32M
Current Ratio
1.61
As of 2026-09-18 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data