RankAlpha logo
Back to Rankings

STRL

Sterling InfrastructureA
Nasdaq / Capital Goods
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
View Chart
Current thesis
Q2 revenue rose 90%, including approximately 50% organic growth, while adjusted EBITDA margin reached 22%; strong signed backlog gives the growth case tangible support. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-03]
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-10-28 · AMC.
What can break
Acquisition integration and project execution could pressure margins despite strong reported growth. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-03]
Momentum
14
Value
57
Sentiment
77
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $440.00 · Bull $500.00 · Bear $325.00Analysis 2026-10-21; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Earnings
2026-10-28 · AMC
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-27 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-27 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-10-21 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-27

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-27. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade A · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $829.63
Why
Momentum14 · Δ7d -14.1
Value57 · Δ7d +1.7
Sentiment77 · Δ7d -3.7
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-10-28 · AMC.
  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -3.7.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Acquisition integration and project execution could pressure margins despite strong reported growth. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-03]
  • • Housing affordability weighed on Building Solutions, while resources shifted away from Transportation toward E-Infrastructure. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-03]
  • • Acquisitions contributed $250.8 million of Q2 revenue, and $1.28 billion of the $5.62 billion combined backlog was unsigned.

Catalyst clock

2026-10-28 · AMC

October 28 third-quarter results

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
14
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-14.1
Δ21d
-37.6
Value
57
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+1.7
Δ21d
+5.8
Sentiment
77
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-3.7
Δ21d
+14.0
Why this grade

Composite grade A. Momentum 14.2 / Value 56.9 / Sentiment 77.1

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-10-21. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$500.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-21 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$440.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-21 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$325.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-21 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-27
Market Cap
$11.24B
Beta
1.51
Shares Out
30.59M
P/E (TTM)
32.0
P/S (TTM)
4.50
P/FCF (TTM)
27.79
Rev YoY
+90.1%
EPS YoY
+116.7%
Gross Margin
+23.0%
Op Margin
+18.2%
Net Debt
-$40.81M
Current Ratio
1.11
As of 2026-10-27 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data