B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$40.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-01-29 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
STM
STMicroelectronics RegSFNYSE / Semiconductors & Semiconductor Equipment
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Bull case: better-than-expected automotive content gains and margin expansion from newer process nodes and product mix lift EBITDA and justify premium multiples.
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
3 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-09.
What can break
Cyclical weakness in auto/industrial demand
Momentum
39
Value
55
Sentiment
26
Setup hits (3d)
3 · Net Bullish
AI TargetsBase $31.00 · Bull $40.00 · Bear $24.00Analysis 2026-01-29; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-01-29 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-09
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade F · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Bullish
Target $78.14
Why
Momentum39 · Δ7d +1.6
Value55 · Δ7d 0.0
Sentiment26 · Δ7d -0.8
So what
Weak posture (Net Bullish). Prioritize risk control and patience.
Confirming evidence
- • 3 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-09.
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.8.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Cyclical weakness in auto/industrial demand
- • FX volatility and macro slowdown
- • Bear case: cyclical end-market weakness, pricing pressure, or prolonged inventory destocking compress revenue and margins, pushing the stock toward lower analyst lows.
Catalyst clock
2026-01-29
FY2025 earnings release and management commentary
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
39
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
+1.6
Δ21d
+30.3
Value
55
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
+3.8
Sentiment
26
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.8
Δ21d
+2.8
Why this grade
Composite grade F. Momentum 38.7 / Value 54.8 / Sentiment 26.2
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-01-29. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
60%
Probability
Target price
$31.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-01-29 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$24.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-01-29 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$50.67B
Beta
1.23
Shares Out
892.55M
P/E (TTM)
27.9
P/S (TTM)
2.14
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
500.63
Rev YoY
+23.9%
EPS YoY
-316.7%
Gross Margin
+34.3%
Op Margin
+5.2%
Net Debt
-$2.47B
Current Ratio
2.78
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data