B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$40.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-01-29 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
STM
STMicroelectronics RegSDNYSE / Semiconductors & Semiconductor Equipment
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Bull case: better-than-expected automotive content gains and margin expansion from newer process nodes and product mix lift EBITDA and justify premium multiples.
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.3.
What can break
Cyclical weakness in auto/industrial demand
Momentum
49
Value
56
Sentiment
38
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $31.00 · Bull $40.00 · Bear $24.00Analysis 2026-01-29; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-01-29 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Investment thesisAs of 2026-10-23
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade D · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $77.09
Why
Momentum49 · Δ7d -3.8
Value56 · Δ7d +0.3
Sentiment38 · Δ7d +3.1
So what
Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.
Confirming evidence
- • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.3.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Cyclical weakness in auto/industrial demand
- • FX volatility and macro slowdown
- • Bear case: cyclical end-market weakness, pricing pressure, or prolonged inventory destocking compress revenue and margins, pushing the stock toward lower analyst lows.
Catalyst clock
2026-01-29
FY2025 earnings release and management commentary
Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
49
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-3.8
Δ21d
-14.4
Value
56
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.3
Δ21d
+1.6
Sentiment
38
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+3.1
Δ21d
+17.0
Why this grade
Composite grade D. Momentum 48.9 / Value 56.4 / Sentiment 37.7
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-01-29. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
60%
Probability
Target price
$31.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-01-29 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$24.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-01-29 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-10-23
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$39.51B
Beta
1.23
Shares Out
892.55M
P/E (TTM)
27.9
P/S (TTM)
2.14
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
390.38
Rev YoY
+23.9%
EPS YoY
-316.7%
Gross Margin
+34.3%
Op Margin
+5.2%
Net Debt
-$2.47B
Current Ratio
2.78
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data