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STLA

StellantisC
NYSE / Automobiles & Components
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Q2 provided credible evidence of volume, North American share, manufacturing-efficiency, quality, and cash-flow improvement. If launches convert into sustained volume and VCP savings are realized, the low valuation could rerate.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +5.3.
What can break
2026 tariff costs are estimated at €1.0-€1.2 billion, while approximately €2 billion of cash payments related to 2025 charges remain in the guidance.
Momentum
16
Value
44
Sentiment
68
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $5.50 · Bull $7.00 · Bear $4.25Analysis 2026-08-04; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-04 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $6.21
Why
Momentum16 · Δ7d +1.0
Value44 · Δ7d 0.0
Sentiment68 · Δ7d +5.3
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +5.3.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • 2026 tariff costs are estimated at €1.0-€1.2 billion, while approximately €2 billion of cash payments related to 2025 charges remain in the guidance.
  • • AOI margin remains low, with Europe at a negative margin and persistent pricing pressure.
  • • The recovery remains back-loaded and execution-dependent.

Catalyst clock

2026-07-30

Q2 2026 earnings showed operational improvement, but profitability remains thin

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
16
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+1.0
Δ21d
+8.9
Value
44
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
+0.1
Sentiment
68
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+5.3
Δ21d
-6.8
Why this grade

Composite grade C. Momentum 16.4 / Value 44.2 / Sentiment 68.5

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-04. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
0%
Probability
Target price
$7.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-04 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
0%
Probability
Target price
$5.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-04 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
0%
Probability
Target price
$4.25
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-04 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$19.31B
Beta
1.62
Shares Out
2.89B
P/E (TTM) · Derived
-0.8
P/S (TTM)
0.19
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
-1.05
Rev YoY
-12.7%
EPS YoY
-141.9%
Gross Margin
-1.7%
Op Margin
-14.9%
Net Debt
$17.12B
Current Ratio
1.04
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data