B+
Bull case
0%
Probability
Target price
$44.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-04-29 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
STAG
STAG IndustrialCNYSE / Equity Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs)
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
The post-earnings read-through is modestly constructive: operating metrics were strong, consensus beat data checked in trusted coverage was favorable, and management held its leasing and retention framework while pointing to a second-half occupancy recovery.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +7.0.
What can break
Management said occupancy is expected to trough in Q2 2026 before recovering later in the year, creating a near-term execution risk.
Momentum
39
Value
55
Sentiment
58
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $41.00 · Bull $44.00 · Bear $36.00Analysis 2026-04-29; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-04-29 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-09
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $41.92
Why
Momentum39 · Δ7d +15.8
Value55 · Δ7d -
Sentiment58 · Δ7d +7.0
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.
Confirming evidence
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +7.0.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Management said occupancy is expected to trough in Q2 2026 before recovering later in the year, creating a near-term execution risk.
- • Net income per share fell to $0.32 from $0.49 year over year, helped less by property-sale gains and facing higher interest expense pressure. [#8-K-2026-04-28]
- • The caution is that GAAP EPS fell year over year, occupancy still faces a near-term trough in Q2, and no broad post-print target-revision wave was available in the checked evidence as of April 29, 2026, limiting confirmation that analysts materially raised forward numbers.
Catalyst clock
2026-04-29
Q1 print beat with solid operating metrics
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
39
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+15.8
Δ21d
+20.6
Value
55
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-
Δ21d
-
Sentiment
58
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+7.0
Δ21d
-1.7
Why this grade
Composite grade C. Momentum 39.2 / Value 55.3 / Sentiment 58.0
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-04-29. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
1%
Probability
Target price
$41.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-04-29 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
0%
Probability
Target price
$36.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-04-29 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$7.1B
Beta
1.06
Shares Out
192.81M
P/E (TTM)
28.5
P/S (TTM)
8.37
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
-47.31
Rev YoY
+8.1%
EPS YoY
+3.4%
Gross Margin
+43.9%
Op Margin
+37.6%
Net Debt
$3.22B
Current Ratio
1.78
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data