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Sono GroupD
Nasdaq / Automobiles & Components
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
A definitive Sports One agreement on acceptable terms could establish a new investable business and remove transaction uncertainty. This remains conditional, not a validated operating thesis [#SEC-8K-2026-08-31].
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite.
What can break
Bitcoin price volatility and possible collateral requirements complicate liquidity [#SEC-10Q-2026-08-14].
Momentum
77
Value
39
Sentiment
57
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $1.10 · Bull $1.80 · Bear $0.50Analysis 2026-09-25; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-29 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-29 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-09-25 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-29

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-29. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade D · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Why
Momentum77 · Δ7d -
Value39 · Δ7d 0.0
Sentiment57 · Δ7d -
So what
Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Bitcoin price volatility and possible collateral requirements complicate liquidity [#SEC-10Q-2026-08-14].
  • • Equity issuance, convertible-debt refinancing or conversion could dilute existing shareholders [#8-K-2026-08-31] [#SEC-10Q-2026-08-14].
  • • The transaction could fail or leave existing holders with limited ownership, while going-concern doubt, financing needs, Bitcoin exposure and convertible debt pressure persist [#SEC-8K-2026-08-31] [#SEC-10Q-2026-08-14].

Catalyst clock

2026-12-31

Sports One transaction agreement or failure

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
77
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendTrend unavailable
Trend unavailable
Δ7d
-
Δ21d
-
Value
39
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
-0.0
Sentiment
57
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendTrend unavailable
Trend unavailable
Δ7d
-
Δ21d
-
Why this grade

Composite grade D. Momentum 77.3 / Value 39.5 / Sentiment 56.5

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-09-25. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$1.80
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-25 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
40%
Probability
Target price
$1.10
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-25 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
35%
Probability
Target price
$0.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-25 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-29
Market Cap
$3.03M
Beta
-
Shares Out
2.71M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
0.4
P/S (TTM)
-
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
-0.25
Rev YoY
-100.0%
EPS YoY
+405.5%
Gross Margin
+29.9%
Op Margin
-
Net Debt
$432.2K
Current Ratio
0.56
As of 2026-10-29 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data