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SSD

Simpson ManufacturingB
NYSE / Capital Goods
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Second-quarter sales rose 6.3% and operating income rose 20.6% year over year; pricing, European growth and cost savings could sustain earnings if volumes stabilize. [#SEC-8K-2026-07-27]
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.4.
What can break
Reported and projected property-related gains complicate assessment of recurring operating margins. [#SEC-8K-2026-07-27]
Momentum
68
Value
62
Sentiment
54
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $185.00 · Bull $215.00 · Bear $135.00Analysis 2026-10-01; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-27 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-26 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-10-01 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-26

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-26. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $216.40
Why
Momentum68 · Δ7d +28.6
Value62 · Δ7d -0.4
Sentiment54 · Δ7d -6.7
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.4.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Reported and projected property-related gains complicate assessment of recurring operating margins. [#SEC-8K-2026-07-27]
  • • Softer housing activity and lower North American unit volumes may expose dependence on prior price increases. [#SEC-8K-2026-07-27]
  • • North American unit volumes slipped despite sales growth, and roughly 100 basis points of the quarter's operating-margin improvement came from an eminent-domain settlement.

Catalyst clock

2026-10-22

Capital returns under expanded authorization

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
68
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+28.6
Δ21d
+27.9
Value
62
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.4
Δ21d
-1.7
Sentiment
54
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-6.7
Δ21d
-16.1
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 68.1 / Value 62.1 / Sentiment 53.8

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-10-01. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
0%
Probability
Target price
$215.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-01 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
1%
Probability
Target price
$185.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-01 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
0%
Probability
Target price
$135.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-01 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-27
Market Cap
$7.86B
Beta
1.37
Shares Out
40.98M
P/E (TTM)
20.6
P/S (TTM)
3.03
P/FCF (TTM)
36.60
Rev YoY
+6.3%
EPS YoY
+25.0%
Gross Margin
+45.2%
Op Margin
+19.8%
Net Debt
$103.44M
Current Ratio
3.29
As of 2026-10-26 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data