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SQM

Sociedad Quimica y Minera de Chile Pfd Series B n-vtg PfdB
NYSE / Materials
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Bull thesis: sustained strong lithium prices, constrained new supply, and successful project execution drive higher realized prices and volumes, boosting cash flow and supporting a re-rate toward analyst highs.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
2 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-09.
What can break
Chilean regulatory, royalty, or permitting changes
Momentum
62
Value
67
Sentiment
61
Setup hits (3d)
2 · Net Bullish
AI TargetsBase $71.81 · Bull $100.00 · Bear $40.00Analysis 2026-01-24; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-10 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-01-24 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-10

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-10. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Bullish
Target $88.62
Why
Momentum62 · Δ7d -9.1
Value67 · Δ7d 0.0
Sentiment61 · Δ7d +10.5
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Bullish). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • 2 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-09.
  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +10.5.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Chilean regulatory, royalty, or permitting changes
  • • Operational disruptions, cost inflation, or delayed expansions
  • • Bear thesis: prolonged weak lithium prices, adverse Chilean policy or permitting outcomes, or operational setbacks compress margins and force significant downgrades toward cyclical lows.

Catalyst clock

2026-04-24

Chile regulatory & permitting risk

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
62
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-9.1
Δ21d
+34.3
Value
67
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
+11.1
Sentiment
61
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+10.5
Δ21d
-0.7
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 62.0 / Value 66.5 / Sentiment 60.6

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-01-24. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$100.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-01-24 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$71.81
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-01-24 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$40.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-01-24 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$20.08B
Beta
1.85
Shares Out
142.82M
P/E (TTM)
12.2
P/S (TTM)
4.53
P/FCF (TTM)
328.29
Rev YoY
+135.9%
EPS YoY
+643.8%
Gross Margin
+42.1%
Op Margin
+38.9%
Net Debt
$2.04B
Current Ratio
2.61
As of 2026-09-10 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data