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SPXC

SPXB
NYSE / Capital Goods
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
The bullish case rests on strong Q2 growth, raised FY2026 guidance, continued data-center demand, Olympus Max capacity expansion, and acquisition contribution. The deterministic prior is directionally positive, with expected returns of 1.6% over 5 days and 9.6% over 120 days.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -12.3.
What can break
Data-center demand, Olympus Max ramp, and full-production capacity may not convert as expected.
Momentum
25
Value
54
Sentiment
79
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $215.00 · Bull $260.00 · Bear $160.00Analysis 2026-09-03; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-10 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-09-03 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-10

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-10. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $275.09
Why
Momentum25 · Δ7d +12.8
Value54 · Δ7d 0.0
Sentiment79 · Δ7d -12.3
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -12.3.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Data-center demand, Olympus Max ramp, and full-production capacity may not convert as expected.
  • • Detection & Measurement momentum may weaken after favorable project mix and cost-optimization benefits.
  • • The bear case is that strong expectations are already reflected in the price, while HVAC margins face start-up, tariff, and inflation pressure.

Catalyst clock

2026-07-30

Q2 execution and FY2026 guidance raise

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
25
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+12.8
Δ21d
+7.2
Value
54
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
+1.9
Sentiment
79
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-12.3
Δ21d
-6.6
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 24.9 / Value 54.1 / Sentiment 78.7

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-09-03. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$260.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-03 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$215.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-03 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$160.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-03 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$10.9B
Beta
1.32
Shares Out
50.09M
P/E (TTM)
43.8
P/S (TTM)
4.74
P/FCF (TTM)
37.75
Rev YoY
+22.9%
EPS YoY
+41.3%
Gross Margin
+36.5%
Op Margin
+17.4%
Net Debt
$213.4M
Current Ratio
1.82
As of 2026-09-10 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data