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SPT

Sprout SocialD
Nasdaq / Software & Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
The Q2 print supports a constructive operating case: double-digit revenue growth, strong RPO expansion, improving profitability, and growth in larger customer cohorts. The cost reset may create additional operating leverage if execution remains stable.
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
2 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-10-26.
What can break
Approximately 20% workforce reduction may impair execution, customer coverage, or organizational continuity. [#SEC-8K-2026-07-15]
Momentum
88
Value
47
Sentiment
33
Setup hits (3d)
2 · Net Bullish
AI TargetsBase $10.00 · Bull $13.00 · Bear $7.50Analysis 2026-08-08; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-26 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-26 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-08 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-26

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-26. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade D · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Bullish
Target $10.89
Why
Momentum88 · Δ7d +1.9
Value47 · Δ7d -0.4
Sentiment33 · Δ7d -13.1
So what
Weak posture (Net Bullish). Prioritize risk control and patience.

Confirming evidence

  • • 2 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-10-26.
  • • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.4.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Approximately 20% workforce reduction may impair execution, customer coverage, or organizational continuity. [#SEC-8K-2026-07-15]
  • • Estimated Q3 restructuring charges of $18 million-$20 million create a near-term earnings and reporting overhang. [#SEC-8K-2026-07-15]
  • • The workforce reduction creates near-term organizational and customer-execution risk, while Q3 restructuring charges may pressure reported results.

Catalyst clock

2026-08-06

Q2 2026 results showed solid operating execution

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
88
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+1.9
Δ21d
+13.6
Value
47
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.4
Δ21d
-0.9
Sentiment
33
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-13.1
Δ21d
-32.2
Why this grade

Composite grade D. Momentum 88.1 / Value 46.8 / Sentiment 33.1

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-08. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$13.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$10.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$7.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-26
Market Cap
$773.67M
Beta
0.90
Shares Out
60.63M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
-17.3
P/S (TTM)
1.39
P/FCF (TTM)
18.81
Rev YoY
+10.8%
EPS YoY
-75.0%
Gross Margin
+77.4%
Op Margin
-5.6%
Net Debt
-$42.48M
Current Ratio
0.90
As of 2026-10-26 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data