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SPSC

SPS CommerceD
Nasdaq / Software & Services
Last Price
At close
2026-06-02
View Chart
Current thesis
Primary sources support a stable, cash-generative model: Q1 revenue grew 6%, recurring revenue grew 7%, adjusted EBITDA grew 7%, recurring revenue remained 96% of total, and FY26 guidance still implies 6%-7% growth with 14%-16% adjusted EBITDA growth [#PR-2026-04-30][#10-Q-2026-04-30].
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -9.2.
What can break
Analyst revision breadth is not available in the packet, lowering confidence in how much of the post-earnings view has been externally validated.
Momentum
8
Value
64
Sentiment
63
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $68.00 · Bull $80.00 · Bear $48.00
Data freshness
Prices
As of 2026-06-02
Fundamentals
As of 2026-06-01 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-06-02 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-05-06 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-06-02
Supporting evidence
What
Grade D · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $82.09
Why
Momentum8 · Δ7d -4.9
Value64 · Δ7d -0.2
Sentiment63 · Δ7d -9.2
So what
Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
8
34% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-4.9
Δ21d
-0.7
Value
64
32% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.2
Δ21d
+0.0
Sentiment
63
33% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-9.2
Δ21d
-5.8
Why this grade

Composite grade D. Momentum 7.9 / Value 64.2 / Sentiment 63.2

Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-06-01
Market Cap
$2.19B
Beta
0.56
Shares Out
37.71M
P/E (TTM)
40.5
P/S (TTM)
4.67
P/FCF (TTM)
22.98
Rev YoY
+16.0%
EPS YoY
+9.0%
Gross Margin
+68.4%
Op Margin
+14.8%
Net Debt
-$241.02M
Current Ratio
1.97
As of 2026-06-02 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology