B+
Bull case
30%
Probability
Target price
$94.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-06 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
SPB
Spectrum BrandsBNYSE / Household & Personal Products
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Fiscal Q3 sales rose 7.7%, and adjusted EBITDA rose 27.5% excluding tariff refunds. Sustained underlying margin gains and delivery against the raised fiscal 2026 earnings framework could support upside.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.2.
What can break
Higher tariff costs, investment spending and ERP execution could offset volume, pricing and mix gains. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-07]
Momentum
24
Value
67
Sentiment
58
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $80.00 · Bull $94.00 · Bear $62.00Analysis 2026-10-06; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-27 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-27 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-10-06 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-10-27
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-27
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-27. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $98.75
Why
Momentum24 · Δ7d -10.1
Value67 · Δ7d -0.2
Sentiment58 · Δ7d -6.4
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.
Confirming evidence
- • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.2.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Higher tariff costs, investment spending and ERP execution could offset volume, pricing and mix gains. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-07]
- • Soft Home & Personal Care demand and the associated impairment cloud the recovery case. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-07]
- • Reported continuing operations swung to a $20.3 million loss, including a non-cash HPC impairment.
Catalyst clock
2026-11-30
Fiscal 2026 results test the raised earnings framework
Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
24
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-10.1
Δ21d
-20.7
Value
67
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.2
Δ21d
+0.7
Sentiment
58
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-6.4
Δ21d
-20.9
Why this grade
Composite grade B. Momentum 23.8 / Value 67.4 / Sentiment 57.6
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-10-06. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$80.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-06 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$62.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-06 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-10-27
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-27
Market Cap
$1.86B
Beta
0.67
Shares Out
23M
P/E (TTM)
15.4
P/S (TTM)
0.50
P/FCF (TTM)
12.05
Rev YoY
+7.7%
EPS YoY
-239.2%
Gross Margin
+40.3%
Op Margin
+9.1%
Net Debt
$530.6M
Current Ratio
2.41
As of 2026-10-27 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data