B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$28.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
SONY
Sony GroupCNYSE / Consumer Durables & Apparel
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Primary-source support is solid for a cautious bull read: FY2025 continuing-operations sales rose 4% and operating income rose 13%, FY2026 operating income is guided up 11% to ¥1.6 trillion, dividend is planned at ¥35 versus ¥25, G&NS engagement stayed firm at 125 million March MAUs, and I&SS posted record FY2025 operating income despite restructuring charges. [#IR-2026-05-08-FY25Q4]
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
3 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-09.
What can break
Additional losses tied to Sony Honda Mobility's discontinued EV launch were recorded in FY2025 and are expected again in FY2026.
Momentum
81
Value
62
Sentiment
53
Setup hits (3d)
3 · Net Bullish
AI TargetsBase $22.00 · Bull $28.00 · Bear $16.00Analysis 2026-05-08; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-10 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-05-08 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-10
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-10
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-10. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Bullish
Target $31.00
Why
Momentum81 · Δ7d +14.2
Value62 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment53 · Δ7d +8.0
So what
Balanced signals (Net Bullish). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.
Confirming evidence
- • 3 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-09.
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +8.0.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Additional losses tied to Sony Honda Mobility's discontinued EV launch were recorded in FY2025 and are expected again in FY2026.
- • FY2026 consolidated sales guidance is down 1%, with G&NS sales guided down 6% because hardware unit sales are expected to decline.
- • The bear read is that earnings quality is mixed: FY2025 net income fell 3%, Q4 operating income fell 24% and Q4 net income fell 63%, FY2026 sales are guided down 1%, G&NS revenue is expected down 6% on lower hardware units, and I&SS assumes weaker mobile image-sensor sales; the TSMC project is only an MOU and Sony Honda Mobility losses remain an overhang.
Catalyst clock
2026-05-29
¥500 billion buyback facility and 3.0% treasury-share cancellation
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
81
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+14.2
Δ21d
+12.0
Value
62
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
+1.1
Sentiment
53
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+8.0
Δ21d
-0.2
Why this grade
Composite grade C. Momentum 81.0 / Value 61.9 / Sentiment 52.8
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-05-08. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$22.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
30%
Probability
Target price
$16.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$140.49B
Beta
0.97
Shares Out
5.87B
P/E (TTM)
21.6
P/S (TTM)
1.96
P/FCF (TTM)
15.73
Rev YoY
-1.8%
EPS YoY
+33.7%
Gross Margin
+31.8%
Op Margin
+13.3%
Net Debt
-$3.39B
Current Ratio
1.25
As of 2026-09-10 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data